Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Levadia vs Parnu JK Vaprus

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn
Levadia Logo

Levadia

4 - 0
FT
Parnu JK Vaprus Logo

Parnu JK Vaprus

Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Saliste J.
Assist: Ainsalu M.
19' Event
Wendell
Assist: Saliste J.
28' Event
Roosnupp M.
Assist: Liivak F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Levadia in this Meistriliiga matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Levadia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Levadia
15%
Draws
27%
Parnu JK Vaprus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Levadia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Levadia have won more games recently than Parnu JK Vaprus.
  • Levadia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Levadia here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Levadia Clean Sheet 68%
Parnu JK Vaprus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Levadia Parnu JK Vaprus
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 24 11
Draws 4 4
Losses 2 13
Goals Scored 2.9 1.54
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Meistriliiga
Levadia vs Parnu JK Vaprus
4:0
Aug 2, 2026 Meistriliiga
Parnu JK Vaprus vs Levadia
1:1
May 24, 2026 Meistriliiga
Parnu JK Vaprus vs Levadia
1:6
Apr 8, 2026 Meistriliiga
Levadia vs Parnu JK Vaprus
2:1
Jan 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Levadia vs Parnu JK Vaprus
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Levadia Compare

Top Goalscorer Saliste J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wendell
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Parnu JK Vaprus Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Levadia 95 / 100
Parnu JK Vaprus 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Levadia Parnu JK Vaprus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Levadia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 10:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Levadia scored in 100% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Levadia has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Parnu JK Vaprus's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Levadia VS Parnu JK Vaprus
3.13 Goals Scored 2
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Levadia

(Home)
12 Sept
Levadia
4 : 0
Parnu JK Vaprus
09 Sept
Levadia
4 : 0
Kuressaare
06 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
0 : 2
Levadia
30 Aug
Kalju
2 : 3
Levadia
26 Aug
Levadia
4 : 1
Paide Linnameeskond
Page 1 of 6

Parnu JK Vaprus

(Away)
12 Sept
Levadia
4 : 0
Parnu JK Vaprus
09 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus
3 : 2
Harju JK Laagri
05 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus
1 : 0
Nomme Utd
02 Sept
Nomme Utd
3 : 2
Parnu JK Vaprus
29 Aug
Kuressaare
2 : 2
Parnu JK Vaprus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia 27 21 5 1 74:20 68
2 Flora 28 17 1 10 56:37 52
3 Kalju 28 14 5 9 49:26 47
4 Paide Linnameeskond 27 13 6 8 43:35 45
5 Tammeka Tartu 27 14 2 11 36:38 44
6 Harju JK Laagri 28 11 1 16 40:47 34
7 Parnu JK Vaprus 27 10 4 13 37:52 34
8 Nomme Utd 28 9 1 18 46:65 28
9 Kuressaare 28 8 4 16 31:49 28
10 Narva 28 5 3 20 21:64 18
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)