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Levadiakos vs Asteras Tripolis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Greek Cup
Tue, Aug 18, 2026
0 - 3
06:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Silva J.
43' Event
Urzi A.
63' Event
Urzi A.

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-3. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Asteras Tripolis have shipped 1.23 goals a game lately, while Levadiakos have conceded 1.52 and scored 0.93. Head-to-head, Levadiakos have won 2 to Asteras Tripolis's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Oct 24, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.00 - 1.06) back Asteras Tripolis to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Levadiakos
30%
Draws
31%
Asteras Tripolis
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Levadiakos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Asteras Tripolis carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Levadiakos's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Asteras Tripolis arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Levadiakos, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Levadiakos Clean Sheet 68%
Asteras Tripolis Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Levadiakos Asteras Tripolis
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 7 11
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 0.93 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2026 Super League
Asteras Tripolis vs Levadiakos
0:0
Aug 18, 2026 Greek Cup
Levadiakos vs Asteras Tripolis
0:3
Feb 1, 2026 Super League
Levadiakos vs Asteras Tripolis
3:1
Dec 7, 2025 Super League
Asteras Tripolis vs Levadiakos
1:1
Oct 29, 2025 Greek Cup
Levadiakos vs Asteras Tripolis
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Levadiakos Compare

Top Goalscorer Urzi A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Asteras Tripolis Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Levadiakos 86 / 100
Asteras Tripolis 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Levadiakos Asteras Tripolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Levadiakos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Asteras Tripolis let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Levadiakos remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Asteras Tripolis has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Levadiakos VS Asteras Tripolis
0.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Levadiakos

(Home)
01 Nov
Levadiakos
3 : 0
Aris
24 Oct
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 0
Levadiakos
17 Oct
Levadiakos
0 : 0
Volos
11 Oct
Iraklis FC
2 : 0
Levadiakos
20 Sept
Levadiakos
0 : 1
Olympiacos Piraeus
Page 1 of 6

Asteras Tripolis

(Away)
01 Nov
PAOK
2 : 1
Asteras Tripolis
27 Oct
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 2
Kifisia
24 Oct
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 0
Levadiakos
18 Oct
Panathinaikos
5 : 1
Asteras Tripolis
10 Oct
Asteras Tripolis
2 : 1
Atromitos
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Athens Kallithea -
TBD -
AO Trikala 0
AEL Larissa 4
Iraklis FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Volos -
Atromitos -
TBD -
TBD -
Pyrgos -
Zakynthos -
TBD -
TBD -
Kifisia -
Karditsa -
TBD -
TBD -
Aris -
Ellas Syrou -
TBD -
TBD -
Marko -
Niki Volos -
TBD -
TBD -
Panionios -
Levadiakos -
TBD -
TBD -
Asteras Tripolis -
Chrisoupolis -
TBD -
TBD -
Apollon Kalamaria -
Kalamata -
TBD -
TBD -
Panetolikos -
Panserraikos -
TBD -
TBD -
Panthrakikos -
Final
Athens Kallithea 1
AEL Larissa 3
Iraklis FC 1
Volos 3
Atromitos 3
Pyrgos 1
Zakynthos 1
Kifisia 6
Karditsa 0
Aris 2
Ellas Syrou 1
Marko 2
Niki Volos 1
Panionios 0
Levadiakos 0
Asteras Tripolis 3
Chrisoupolis 1
Apollon Kalamaria 0
Kalamata 4
Panetolikos 2
Panserraikos 2
Panthrakikos 1