Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Levadiakos vs PAOK

Greece Greece

Greek Cup 2025/2026 Levadia Stadium, Levadia
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Kedziora T.
Own Goal
31'
Balzi G.
32'
Goumas K.

AI Match Summary

Levadiakos in this Greek Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 4-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Levadiakos
15%
Draws
36%
PAOK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Levadiakos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Levadiakos lately — more wins on the board than PAOK.
  • Model gives Levadiakos a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Levadiakos have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor PAOK, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and PAOK have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Levadiakos Clean Sheet 68%
PAOK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Levadiakos PAOK
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 14
Draws 5 8
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 2.4 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.40 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.40 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Super League
PAOK vs Levadiakos
3:0
Nov 30, 2025 Super League
Levadiakos vs PAOK
2:3
Sep 17, 2025 Greek Cup
Levadiakos vs PAOK
4:1
Jan 26, 2025 Super League
PAOK vs Levadiakos
1:0
Oct 6, 2024 Super League
Levadiakos vs PAOK
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Levadiakos Compare

Top Goalscorer Vichos P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pedrozo F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.85
Avg xA / game 1.2

PAOK Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Levadiakos 50 / 100
PAOK 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Levadiakos PAOK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Levadiakos's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

PAOK let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Levadiakos stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Levadiakos VS PAOK
2.4 Goals Scored 2.13
1.4 Goals Conceded 1.5
80% Over 1.5 100%
80% Over 2.5 75%
40% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Levadiakos

(Home)
06 Aug
Levadiakos
1 : 0
Panetolikos
17 May
Aris
3 : 0
Levadiakos
13 May
Levadiakos
3 : 2
OFI Crete
10 May
Volos
0 : 3
Levadiakos
03 May
Levadiakos
5 : 2
Volos
Page 1 of 7

PAOK

(Away)
06 Aug
PAOK
0 : 1
Anderlecht
30 Jul
PAOK
2 : 0
Dynamo Kyiv
23 Jul
Dynamo Kyiv
2 : 3
PAOK
11 Jul
PAOK
2 : 3
Twente
07 Jul
PAOK
3 : 2
AEK Larnaca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olympiacos Piraeus 4 4 0 0 18:3 12
2 Levadiakos 4 4 0 0 10:3 12
3 AEK 4 4 0 0 6:1 12
4 Panathinaikos 4 4 0 0 6:2 12
5 Aris 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
6 OFI Crete 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
7 Volos 4 2 1 1 10:7 7
8 PAOK 4 2 1 1 10:7 7
9 Atromitos 4 2 1 1 7:5 7
10 Kifisia 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
11 Asteras Tripolis 4 1 1 2 7:4 4
12 Panetolikos 4 1 1 2 5:4 4
13 Iraklis FC 4 1 1 2 2:9 4
14 Athens Kallithea 4 1 0 3 3:5 3
15 Ellas Syrou 4 1 0 3 8:13 3
16 AEL Larissa 4 0 1 3 4:9 1
17 Kavala 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
18 Marko 4 0 1 3 4:10 1
19 Ilioupoli 4 0 0 4 1:10 0
20 PAE Egaleo 4 0 0 4 1:13 0
Promotion - Greek Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Greek Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)