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Levante vs Ath Bilbao

Spain Spain

LaLiga Estadi Ciutat de València, Valencia
Wed, Oct 21, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Levante host Ath Bilbao in the LaLiga. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Ath Bilbao have shipped 1.35 goals a game lately, while Levante have conceded 1.5 and scored 1.33. Head-to-head, Levante have won 0 to Ath Bilbao's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 8, 2026, ending 4:2. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.44) point toward Ath Bilbao. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Levante
35%
Draws
40%
Ath Bilbao
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ath Bilbao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Ath Bilbao average 1.71 goals a game right now, well clear of Levante's 1.33.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular LaLiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ath Bilbao have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Levante Clean Sheet 16%
Ath Bilbao Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Levante Ath Bilbao
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 12
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.33 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 LaLiga
Ath Bilbao vs Levante
4:2
Nov 29, 2025 LaLiga
Levante vs Ath Bilbao
0:2
Mar 7, 2022 LaLiga
Ath Bilbao vs Levante
3:1
Nov 19, 2021 LaLiga
Levante vs Ath Bilbao
0:0
Mar 4, 2021 Copa del Rey
Levante vs Ath Bilbao
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Levante 31 / 100
Ath Bilbao 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Levante Ath Bilbao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Levante's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Ath Bilbao has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Levante stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Levante VS Ath Bilbao
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Levante

(Home)
20 Sept
Villarreal
3 : 1
Levante
13 Sept
Levante
2 : 4
Barcelona
06 Sept
Malaga
0 : 0
Levante
29 Aug
Levante
5 : 2
Betis
24 Aug
Osasuna
0 : 0
Levante
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Ath Bilbao

(Away)
19 Sept
Ath Bilbao
0 : 0
Alaves
12 Sept
Ath Bilbao
1 : 1
Elche
05 Sept
Ath Bilbao
3 : 0
Atl. Madrid
30 Aug
Celta Vigo
0 : 2
Ath Bilbao
27 Aug
Barcelona
2 : 0
Ath Bilbao
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona 7 7 0 0 31:7 21
2 Atl. Madrid 7 5 1 1 16:7 16
3 Betis 7 5 1 1 9:7 16
4 Real Madrid 7 5 0 2 18:8 15
5 Sevilla 7 4 1 2 10:9 13
6 Alaves 7 3 2 2 11:6 11
7 Dep. A Coruna 7 2 4 1 10:8 10
8 Real Sociedad 7 3 1 3 9:13 10
9 Villarreal 7 2 2 3 13:12 8
10 Ath Bilbao 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
11 Getafe 7 2 2 3 4:7 8
12 Rayo Vallecano 7 2 2 3 11:16 8
13 Osasuna 7 2 2 3 6:13 8
14 Celta Vigo 7 1 4 2 8:6 7
15 Espanyol 7 2 1 4 10:10 7
16 Racing Santander 7 2 1 4 11:21 7
17 Levante 6 1 2 3 8:12 5
18 Elche 7 1 2 4 11:17 5
19 Valencia 7 1 1 5 4:13 4
20 Malaga 7 0 3 4 3:12 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)