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Leverkusen U19 vs Nurnberg U19

Germany Germany

DFB Youth League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Leverkusen U19 play Nurnberg U19 in the DFB Youth League 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Leverkusen U19 averaged 2.52 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. Nurnberg U19 averaged 1.9 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. In past meetings, Leverkusen U19 won 2, Nurnberg U19 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 11, 2026 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.69 for Leverkusen U19 and 1.69 for Nurnberg U19. This points to a Leverkusen U19 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Leverkusen U19
21%
Draws
33%
Nurnberg U19
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Leverkusen U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Leverkusen U19 picked up more points recently compared to Nurnberg U19.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.69 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68%
Leverkusen U19 Clean Sheet 13%
Nurnberg U19 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 81%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leverkusen U19 Nurnberg U19
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 13
Draws 6 7
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 2.52 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 3.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 DFB Youth League
Nurnberg U19 vs Leverkusen U19
1:3
Feb 21, 2026 DFB Youth League
Leverkusen U19 vs Nurnberg U19
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leverkusen U19 44 / 100
Nurnberg U19 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leverkusen U19 Nurnberg U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Leverkusen U19 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.49
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Leverkusen U19 attacking → ← attacking Nurnberg U19

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leverkusen U19 scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Nurnberg U19 let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Leverkusen U19 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Nurnberg U19 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

51 Points in last 5 46
2.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Hoffenheim U191052325:1617
2Mainz U191051421:1516
3Leverkusen U191043321:1715
4Paderborn U191042421:2314
5Union Berlin U191032516:2211
6Nurnberg U191032517:2811
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Wolfsburg U191080236:1224
2Heidenheim U191043322:2015
3Augsburg U191050515:1515
4Schalke U191042423:2114
5Dortmund U191042425:2614
6Holstein Kiel U19101189:364
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1RB Leipzig U191062227:2220
2Kaiserslautern U191052322:1717
3Hannover U191052326:2417
4Bayern U191043329:2115
5B. Monchengladbach U191043322:1815
6Berliner AK 07 U191000105:290
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Koln U191062227:1020
2Bochum U191061328:1119
3Cottbus U191061318:2419
4Hamburger U191032513:2111
5VfB Stuttgart U191022620:238
6Ulm U191022613:308