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Leverstock Green vs Dorking Wanderers

England England

FA Cup 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Leverstock Green play Dorking Wanderers in the FA Cup 2018/2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, Leverstock Green averaged 1.13 goals scored and 2.27 conceded. Dorking Wanderers averaged 1.84 goals scored and 1.45 conceded. In past meetings, Leverstock Green won 0, Dorking Wanderers won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 22, 2018 ended 2:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Leverstock Green and 1.36 for Dorking Wanderers. This points to a Dorking Wanderers double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Leverstock Green
16%
Draws
54%
Dorking Wanderers
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Dorking Wanderers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Leverstock Green picked up more points recently compared to Dorking Wanderers.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.36 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%
Leverstock Green Clean Sheet 18%
Dorking Wanderers Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leverstock Green Dorking Wanderers
Matches Played 15 31
Wins 5 16
Draws 2 6
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.13 1.84
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.45

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2018 FA Cup
Leverstock Green vs Dorking Wanderers
2:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leverstock Green 31 / 100
Dorking Wanderers 51 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leverstock Green Dorking Wanderers

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dorking Wanderers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Dorking Wanderers & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.1%
1.72
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Leverstock Green attacking → ← attacking Dorking Wanderers

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leverstock Green scored in 67% of their last 15 games.

Dorking Wanderers let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Leverstock Green went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Dorking Wanderers lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

17 Points in last 5 54
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00