Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Leverstock Green vs Newport Pagnell Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

FA Cup 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Leverstock Green in this FA Cup 2014/2015 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Leverstock Green
15%
Draws
0%
Newport Pagnell
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leverstock Green

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Leverstock Green have won more games recently than Newport Pagnell.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Leverstock Green taking it.
  • Leverstock Green have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Leverstock Green, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Leverstock Green Clean Sheet 19%
Newport Pagnell Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leverstock Green Newport Pagnell
Matches Played 16 4
Wins 5 0
Draws 2 0
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 1.19 0.75
Goals Conceded 2.31 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2014 FA Cup
Leverstock Green vs Newport Pagnell
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leverstock Green 36 / 100
Newport Pagnell 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leverstock Green Newport Pagnell

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newport Pagnell has conceded goals in 100% of their last 4 outings.

Attacking prowess: Leverstock Green scored in 69% of their last 16 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Newport Pagnell's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Leverstock Green VS Newport Pagnell
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Leverstock Green

(Home)
29 Aug
Walthamstow FC
3 : 2
Leverstock Green
06 Sept
Lowestoft
2 : 0
Leverstock Green
19 Jul
Broadfields United
2 : 0
Leverstock Green
21 Sept
Leverstock Green
3 : 4
Barton
07 Sept
Leverstock Green
1 : 0
Bury Town
Page 1 of 4

Newport Pagnell

(Away)
04 Sept
Worksop
3 : 0
Newport Pagnell
07 Jul
Newport Pagnell
0 : 3
Milton Keynes Dons
16 Aug
Leverstock Green
2 : 1
Newport Pagnell
08 Sept
Chalfont St Peter
3 : 2
Newport Pagnell

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Spennymoor 3
Bishop Auckland 2
Marske United 2
Dunston 4
Salford 2
Nantwich 0
Brighouse Town 1
Ashton United 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Telford -
King’s Lynn 7
Boston Town 0
TBD -
Hednesford -
United of Manchester 4
Prescot Cables 1
West Allotment Celtic 0
Lancaster 5
Buxton 3
Ramsbottom Utd 2
Bridlington Town 1
Newcastle Benfield 3
Bradford PA -
TBD -
TBD -
AFC Fylde -
Grimsby -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Halesowen 3
Sutton Coldfield Town 0
Hereford 2
Ellistown 3
Droylsden 4
Ossett Albion 0
TBD -
Guiseley -
Alfreton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Lincoln City -
Macclesfield -
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TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
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Wrexham -
Chorley -
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Northwich Victoria 2
Glossop North End 3
Workington 2
Consett 0
Squires Gate 4
Bamber Bridge 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Halifax -
Barwell 2
Coleshill Town 1
FC Wisbech Town 0
Norwich Utd 1
Scarborough Athletic 3
Ashington 2
Burscough 0
Curzon Ashton 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Altrincham -
Leek Town 2
Stourport 1
Stafford 0
Tividale 4
Dereham 3
Neots 2
TBD -
Boston United -
Mickleover 3
Staveley Miners 0
Boldmere St Michaels 0
Bedworth United 3
Skelmersdale 4
Radcliffe 3
Darlington FC 0
Blyth Spartans 3
Gateshead -
TBD -
TBD -
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Marine 2
Ossett Town 1
TBD -
Hyde -
Farsley 2
Frickley 1
TBD -
Gainsborough -
Tamworth -
TBD -
Romulus 2
Rushall 3
Coalville Town 5
Belper Town 3
TBD -
Lowestoft -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Southport -
Dorchester 2
Yate 1
Milton United 0
Abingdon 3
Leiston 2
Haverhill Borough 0
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 0
Hendon 1
TBD -
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TBD -
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Bristol Rovers -
Dartford -
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Sutton -
TBD -
Sudbury 1
Romania 3
Fleet Town 2
Knaphill 1
Croydon FC 2
Burgess Hill 3
Maidstone 10
Littlehampton 0
London Colney 0
Brentwood 1
Dorking Wanderers 4
Pagham 2
Arlesey 1
Biggleswade Town 2
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Welling -
FC Witham Town 4
Bowers & Pitsea 0
Bognor Regis 0
Lewes 1
London Tigers 1
Brightlingsea 0
Cambridge City 2
Needham Market 4
Flackwell Heath 5
Wantage 4
TBD -
Salisbury -
Banbury 1
Bishops Cleeve 0
TBD -
Weston-super-Mare -
Eastbourne Borough -
TBD -
Felixstowe & Walton 0
Enfield Town 5
Romford 1
Bury Town 0
Horsham FC 0
Kingstonian 4
TBD -
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Dover Ath. -
Weymouth 3
Mangotsfield 0
Tiverton 0
Bideford 1
Raynes Park Vale 2
Ramsgate 1
Hadleigh 0
Billericay 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Braintree -
Canvey Island 4
Hertford Town 1
Thame United 1
Burnham FC 2
Margate 3
Folkestone 1
Northwood 3
Barton 4
Wingate & Finchley 6
Ipswich Wanderers 5
Daventry 1
Hitchin 2
Swindon Supermarine 2
AFC Totton 0
TBD -
Havant & Waterlooville -
St. Albans -
TBD -
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Hayes & Yeading -
Farnborough -
TBD -
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Brackley -
Winchester City 3
Bemerton Heath Harlequins FC 0
Horndean 0
Newport Isle of Wight 1
Wealdstone -
TBD -
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Concord Rangers -
Basingstoke -
TBD -
Bodmin Town 4
Bridgwater United 5
Hythe 4
Whitstable Town 0
TBD -
Ebbsfleet -
Waltham Abbey 3
Barkingside 1
Northampton Sileby 1
North Greenford Utd. 3
VCD Athletic 3
Hampton & Richmond 2
AFC Hayes 2
Harrow Borough 3
Aldershot -
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Torquay -
Kidderminster -
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Eastleigh -
Nuneaton -
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Chippenham Town 1
Sholing 0
Slough Town 1
Ardley United 2
Dunstable Town 4
Chesham 3
TBD -
Hemel Hempstead -
Norton United 5
Corby 4
Holwell 0
Spalding United 4
Barrow -
TBD -
Witton Albion 3
Runcorn Town 5
Shildon 3
Whitby 2
TBD -
Stalybridge -
Blaby & Whetstone 4
Tipton Town 1
Market Drayton 1
Stourbridge 3
Colwyn Bay -
TBD -
Clitheroe 1
Harrogate Railway 3
Sheffield FC 3
Shepshed 2
Trafford 0
Warrington Town 1
Grantham Town 4
Clipstone 1
Lincoln Utd. 2
Stamford 3
Cleethorpes 3
Carlton Town 2
TBD -
North Ferriby United -
Stockport County -
TBD -
TBD -
Harrogate -
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
Matlock 1
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 2
TBD -
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TBD -
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Chester -
East Thurrock Utd 4
Hornchurch 3
South Park 2
Metropolitan Police 5
Stortford -
TBD -
Cray Wanderers 1
Tooting & Mitcham 2
Bath City -
TBD -
Bradford Town 0
Poole Town 4
Oxford City -
TBD -
Cirencester 1
Shortwood 2
Staines -
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Biggleswade United 1
Leverstock Green 2
Paulton Rovers 3
Taunton Town 1
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Gloucester City -
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Forest Green -
Willand Rovers 2
Saltash United 1
Sherborne Town 2
Blackfield & Langley 3
Thurrock 2
Welwyn Garden 0
Tilbury 0
Aveley 4
Maidenhead -
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Leatherhead 1
Faversham 2
Larkhall 2
Truro 0
TBD -
Gosport Borough -
Leamington -
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Mildenhall 1
Wroxham 3
Rugby 4
Chasetown 2
TBD -
Worcester -
Redhill 1
Carshalton 0
Herne Bay 0
Tonbridge 6
Beaconsfield Town 2
Godalming Town 1
Chessington & Hook 0
Greenwich Borough 1
Evesham 1
Redditch 0
Newmarket 0
Histon 3
Kettering 2
Aylesbury Vale 1
Hungerford 1
Chalfont St Peter 2
Grays 6
Harlow 4
Whyteleafe 1
Hastings 2
Uxbridge 6
Bedfont & Feltham 0
TBD -
Bromley -
Whitehawk -
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Chipstead 5
Merstham 6
Worthing FC 3
Dulwich Hamlet 0
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Chelmsford -
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Barnet -
Woking -
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Frome Town 2
Wimborne 0
Longwell Green Sports 0
Folland 1
East Preston 2
Peacehaven & Telscombe 0
TBD -
Boreham Wood -
Quarter-finals
Spennymoor 4
Dunston 1
Salford 1
Ashton United 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Telford -
King’s Lynn 1
Hednesford 0
United of Manchester 0
Lancaster 1
Buxton 2
Newcastle Benfield 0
Bradford PA 3
AFC Fylde 4
Grimsby -
TBD -
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Halesowen 7
Ellistown 1
Droylsden 0
Guiseley 1
Alfreton -
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Lincoln City -
Macclesfield -
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Wrexham -
Chorley 1
Glossop North End 0
Workington 0
Bamber Bridge 1
TBD -
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Halifax -
Barwell 2
Norwich Utd 0
Scarborough Athletic 0
Curzon Ashton 1
TBD -
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Altrincham -
Leek Town 3
Tividale 2
Dereham 1
Boston United 3
Mickleover 4
Bedworth United 1
Skelmersdale 1
Blyth Spartans 4
Gateshead -
TBD -
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Marine 5
Hyde 4
Farsley 1
Gainsborough 4
Tamworth 2
Rushall 1
Coalville Town 0
Lowestoft 5
TBD -
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Southport -
Dorchester 2
Abingdon 0
Leiston 1
Hendon 4
TBD -
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TBD -
Bristol Rovers -
Dartford -
TBD -
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Sutton 3
Romania 2
Fleet Town 0
Burgess Hill 4
Maidstone 2
Brentwood 1
Dorking Wanderers 2
Biggleswade Town 3
TBD -
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TBD -
Welling -
FC Witham Town 4
Lewes 2
London Tigers 2
Needham Market 5
Flackwell Heath -
Salisbury -
Banbury 0
Weston-super-Mare 3
Eastbourne Borough 6
Enfield Town 5
Romford 3
Kingstonian 5
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TBD -
TBD -
Dover Ath. -
Weymouth 4
Bideford 1
Raynes Park Vale 1
Billericay 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Braintree -
Canvey Island 1
Burnham FC 0
Margate 1
Barton 2
Wingate & Finchley 3
Hitchin 0
Swindon Supermarine 0
Havant & Waterlooville 3
St. Albans 1
Hayes & Yeading 0
Farnborough 2
Brackley 3
Winchester City 4
Newport Isle of Wight 3
Wealdstone 1
Concord Rangers 3
Basingstoke 2
Bridgwater United 0
Hythe 1
Ebbsfleet 7
Waltham Abbey 1
North Greenford Utd. 0
VCD Athletic 0
Harrow Borough 4
Aldershot -
TBD -
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TBD -
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Torquay -
Kidderminster -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
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Eastleigh -
Nuneaton -
TBD -
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Chippenham Town 1
Ardley United 0
Dunstable Town 0
Hemel Hempstead 2
Norton United 2
Spalding United 1
Barrow 0
Runcorn Town 1
Shildon 1
Stalybridge 0
Blaby & Whetstone 2
Stourbridge 5
Colwyn Bay 3
Harrogate Railway 2
Sheffield FC 1
Warrington Town 3
Grantham Town 2
Stamford 1
Cleethorpes 1
North Ferriby United 2
Stockport County 2
Harrogate 1
Solihull Moors 0
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chester -
East Thurrock Utd 4
Metropolitan Police 3
Stortford 1
Tooting & Mitcham 3
Bath City 3
Poole Town 1
Oxford City 1
Shortwood 2
Staines 5
Leverstock Green 0
Paulton Rovers 2
Gloucester City 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Forest Green -
Willand Rovers 1
Blackfield & Langley 0
Thurrock 0
Aveley 2
Maidenhead 4
Faversham 0
Larkhall 3
Gosport Borough 10
Leamington 4
Wroxham 1
Rugby 1
Worcester 3
Redhill 2
Tonbridge 1
Beaconsfield Town 1
Greenwich Borough 3
Evesham 3
Histon 1
Kettering 0
Chalfont St Peter 1
Grays 1
Hastings 0
Uxbridge 1
Bromley 5
Whitehawk 2
Merstham 1
Worthing FC 0
Chelmsford 6
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Barnet -
Woking -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Frome Town 2
Folland 1
East Preston 2
Boreham Wood 3
Semi-finals
Spennymoor 1
Ashton United 0
TBD -
Telford -
King’s Lynn 3
Lancaster 2
Buxton 0
AFC Fylde 1
Grimsby -
TBD -
Halesowen 0
Guiseley 3
Alfreton -
TBD -
TBD -
Lincoln City -
Macclesfield -
TBD -
TBD -
Wrexham -
Chorley 4
Bamber Bridge 1
TBD -
Halifax -
Barwell 2
Curzon Ashton 1
TBD -
Altrincham -
Leek Town 2
Boston United 0
Mickleover 1
Blyth Spartans 2
Gateshead -
TBD -
Marine 0
Gainsborough 4
Tamworth 1
Lowestoft 0
TBD -
Southport -
Dorchester 1
Hendon 0
TBD -
Bristol Rovers -
Dartford -
TBD -
Sutton 1
Burgess Hill 3
Maidstone 2
Biggleswade Town 0
TBD -
Welling -
FC Witham Town 2
Needham Market 1
Flackwell Heath 1
Weston-super-Mare 4
Eastbourne Borough 3
Kingstonian 2
TBD -
Dover Ath. -
Weymouth 1
Billericay 0
TBD -
Braintree -
Canvey Island 1
Barton 0
Wingate & Finchley 0
Havant & Waterlooville 2
St. Albans 2
Brackley 0
Winchester City 2
Concord Rangers 3
Basingstoke 2
Ebbsfleet 1
Waltham Abbey 1
Harrow Borough 2
Aldershot -
TBD -
TBD -
Torquay -
Kidderminster -
TBD -
TBD -
Eastleigh -
Nuneaton -
TBD -
Chippenham Town 0
Hemel Hempstead 5
Norton United 5
Runcorn Town 2
Shildon 2
Stourbridge 0
Colwyn Bay 1
Warrington Town 2
Grantham Town 1
North Ferriby United 2
Stockport County 1
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 0
TBD -
Chester -
East Thurrock Utd 2
Tooting & Mitcham 1
Bath City 5
Shortwood 3
Staines 3
Gloucester City 4
TBD -
Forest Green -
Willand Rovers 3
Aveley 2
Maidenhead 1
Gosport Borough 4
Leamington 1
Worcester 3
Redhill 0
Greenwich Borough 1
Evesham 4
Chalfont St Peter 1
Grays 0
Bromley 5
Whitehawk 5
Chelmsford 8
TBD -
Barnet -
Woking -
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Frome Town 2
Boreham Wood 3
Stage 5
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Stage 4
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Stage 3
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Stage 2
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Stage 1
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Final
Spennymoor 2
Telford 5
King’s Lynn 3
AFC Fylde 4
Grimsby 3
Guiseley 0
Alfreton 2
Lincoln City 6
Macclesfield 3
Wrexham 6
Chorley 0
Halifax 5
Barwell 0
Altrincham 3
Leek Town 3
Blyth Spartans 4
Gateshead 4
Gainsborough 0
Tamworth 2
Southport 3
Dorchester 1
Bristol Rovers 7
Dartford 3
Burgess Hill 1
Maidstone 2
Welling 1
FC Witham Town 1
Weston-super-Mare 2
Eastbourne Borough 0
Dover Ath. 1
Weymouth 3
Braintree 5
Canvey Island 0
Havant & Waterlooville 3
St. Albans 0
Concord Rangers 1
Basingstoke 5
Harrow Borough 2
Aldershot 2
Torquay 0
Kidderminster 0
Eastleigh 1
Nuneaton 0
Hemel Hempstead 2
Norton United 3
Shildon 2
Warrington Town 1
North Ferriby United 0
Stockport County 2
Chester 4
East Thurrock Utd 7
Bath City 1
Gloucester City 1
Forest Green 4
Willand Rovers 1
Gosport Borough 3
Worcester 2
Greenwich Borough 1
Evesham 1
Bromley 2
Chelmsford 1
Barnet 4
Woking 2
Boreham Wood 1