Sport Picks

Bulgaria

Third League - South-East

Levski Karlovo

1 - 2

Neftochimic Burgas

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neftochimic Burgas in this Third League - South-East matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Neftochimic Burgas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Levski Karlovo

33%

Draws

40%

Neftochimic Burgas

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Neftochimic Burgas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Neftochimic Burgas have won more games recently than Levski Karlovo.
Model gives Neftochimic Burgas a 40% chance of winning this.
Regular Third League - South-East form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%

Levski Karlovo Clean Sheet 10%

Neftochimic Burgas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Levski Karlovo	Neftochimic Burgas
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	17	18
Draws	4	8
Losses	10	4
Goals Scored	2.5	1.88
Goals Conceded	2.25	0.63
Expected Goals (xG)	2.50	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.25	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Third League - South-East

Levski Karlovo vs Neftochimic Burgas

Possession: 46% - 57% Cards: 2 - 3

1:2

Nov 15, 2025 Third League - South-East

Neftochimic Burgas vs Levski Karlovo

Possession: 48% - 43% Cards: 4 - 0

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Levski Karlovo 26 / 100

Neftochimic Burgas 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Levski Karlovo Neftochimic Burgas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAF Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Levski Karlovo found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Neftochimic Burgas conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Levski Karlovo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Levski Karlovo VS Neftochimic Burgas

2.5 Goals Scored 1.88

2.25 Goals Conceded 0.63

100% Over 1.5 75%

100% Over 2.5 63%

75% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nesebar	36	29	4	3	116:22	91
2	Maritsa Plovdiv	36	23	6	7	90:40	75
3	Neftochimic Burgas	36	19	9	8	53:39	66
4	Yambol 1915	36	20	6	10	72:41	66
5	Levski Karlovo	36	20	5	11	64:53	65
6	Maritsa Milevo	36	17	9	10	64:32	60
7	Spartak Plovdiv	36	15	9	12	64:58	54
8	Sozopol	36	16	6	14	50:38	54
9	OFC Haskovo	36	15	7	14	52:48	52
10	Zagorets	36	13	10	13	52:60	49
11	Rozova Dolina	36	14	6	16	45:52	48
12	Gigant Saedinenie	36	14	5	17	56:59	47
13	Rodopa Smolyan	36	14	4	18	51:70	46
14	Atletik Kuklen	36	13	3	20	43:78	42
15	Sekirovo Rakovski	36	9	8	19	30:53	35
16	Dimitrovgrad	36	10	5	21	42:82	35
17	Lok. Plovdiv II	36	9	6	21	44:53	33
18	Rakovski 2011	36	8	3	25	46:94	27
19	Asenovets	36	6	5	25	30:92	23