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Levski Karlovo vs Rozova Dolina

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-East 2025/2026 game between Levski Karlovo and Rozova Dolina finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Levski Karlovo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Levski Karlovo
6%
Draws
4%
Rozova Dolina
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Levski Karlovo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Levski Karlovo come out ahead of Rozova Dolina on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Levski Karlovo taking it.
  • Regular Third League - South-East 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Levski Karlovo Clean Sheet 15%
Rozova Dolina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Levski Karlovo Rozova Dolina
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 17 11
Draws 4 4
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 2.5 0.88
Goals Conceded 2.25 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Third League - South-East
Levski Karlovo vs Rozova Dolina
3:2
Sep 27, 2025 Third League - South-East
Rozova Dolina vs Levski Karlovo
0:1
May 31, 2025 Third League - South-East
Rozova Dolina vs Levski Karlovo
1:0
Nov 30, 2024 Third League - South-East
Levski Karlovo vs Rozova Dolina
2:3
Apr 13, 2024 Third League - South-East
Rozova Dolina vs Levski Karlovo
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Levski Karlovo 84 / 100
Rozova Dolina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Levski Karlovo Rozova Dolina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Levski Karlovo's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Rozova Dolina has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Levski Karlovo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Levski Karlovo VS Rozova Dolina
2.5 Goals Scored 0.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Levski Karlovo

(Home)
08 Jul
Beroe
6 : 0
Levski Karlovo
27 May
Levski Karlovo
2 : 1
OFC Haskovo
22 May
Lok. Plovdiv II
2 : 3
Levski Karlovo
16 May
Levski Karlovo
1 : 2
Neftochimic Burgas
13 May
Dimitrovgrad
2 : 2
Levski Karlovo
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Rozova Dolina

(Away)
08 Jul
Neftochimic Burgas
3 : 1
Rozova Dolina
23 May
Asenovets
4 : 2
Rozova Dolina
16 May
Rozova Dolina
2 : 1
Zagorets
12 May
Spartak Plovdiv
4 : 0
Rozova Dolina
09 May
Rozova Dolina
1 : 0
Maritsa Plovdiv
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nesebar362943116:2291
2Maritsa Plovdiv36236790:4075
3Neftochimic Burgas36199853:3966
4Yambol 1915362061072:4166
5Levski Karlovo362051164:5365
6Maritsa Milevo361791064:3260
7Spartak Plovdiv361591264:5854
8Sozopol361661450:3854
9OFC Haskovo361571452:4852
10Zagorets3613101352:6049
11Rozova Dolina361461645:5248
12Gigant Saedinenie361451756:5947
13Rodopa Smolyan361441851:7046
14Atletik Kuklen361332043:7842
15Sekirovo Rakovski36981930:5335
16Dimitrovgrad361052142:8235
17Lok. Plovdiv II36962144:5333
18Rakovski 201136832546:9427
19Asenovets36652530:9223
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