Sport Picks
Levski Karlovo vs Zagorets
Bulgaria
Third League - South-East 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
The Third League - South-East 2025/2026 game between Levski Karlovo and Zagorets finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Levski Karlovo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zagorets
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Levski Karlovo come out ahead of Zagorets on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Zagorets's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Levski Karlovo Clean Sheet 10%
Zagorets Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Levski Karlovo | Zagorets |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 10 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 15 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.07 | 2.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Third League - South-East
Zagorets vs Levski Karlovo
2:0
Apr 29, 2026 Third League - South-East
Levski Karlovo vs Zagorets
5:2
Oct 18, 2025 Third League - South-East
Zagorets vs Levski Karlovo
1:2
Feb 15, 2025 Third League - South-East
Levski Karlovo vs Zagorets
0:0
Aug 3, 2024 Third League - South-East
Zagorets vs Levski Karlovo
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Levski Karlovo 10 / 100
Zagorets 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Levski Karlovo Zagorets
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Zagorets Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Levski Karlovo scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Zagorets conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Zagorets lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Levski Karlovo VS Zagorets
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Levski Karlovo
(Home) 19 Sept
Levski Karlovo
1 : 2 Rozova Dolina
12 Sept
OFC Haskovo
2 : 0 Levski Karlovo
05 Sept
Levski Karlovo
1 : 5 Yambol 1915
29 Aug
Zagorets
2 : 0 Levski Karlovo
22 Aug
Levski Karlovo
1 : 4 Sozopol
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19 Sept
Levski Karlovo
1 : 2 Rozova Dolina
05 Sept
Levski Karlovo
1 : 5 Yambol 1915
22 Aug
Levski Karlovo
1 : 4 Sozopol
08 Aug
Levski Karlovo
0 : 1 Krumovgrad
27 May
Levski Karlovo
2 : 1 OFC Haskovo
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Zagorets
(Away) 19 Sept
Neftochimic Burgas
2 : 0 Zagorets
12 Sept
Zagorets
4 : 3 Atletik Kuklen
05 Sept
Dimitrovgrad
2 : 0 Zagorets
29 Aug
Zagorets
2 : 0 Levski Karlovo
22 Aug
Rodopa Smolyan
1 : 3 Zagorets
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19 Sept
Neftochimic Burgas
2 : 0 Zagorets
05 Sept
Dimitrovgrad
2 : 0 Zagorets
22 Aug
Rodopa Smolyan
1 : 3 Zagorets
08 Aug
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 0 Zagorets
18 Jul
Beroe
0 : 0 Zagorets
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nesebar | 36 | 29 | 4 | 3 | 116:22 | 91 |
| 2 | Maritsa Plovdiv | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 90:40 | 75 |
| 3 | Neftochimic Burgas | 36 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 53:39 | 66 |
| 4 | Yambol 1915 | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 72:41 | 66 |
| 5 | Levski Karlovo | 36 | 20 | 5 | 11 | 64:53 | 65 |
| 6 | Maritsa Milevo | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 64:32 | 60 |
| 7 | Spartak Plovdiv | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 64:58 | 54 |
| 8 | Sozopol | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 50:38 | 54 |
| 9 | OFC Haskovo | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 52:48 | 52 |
| 10 | Zagorets | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 52:60 | 49 |
| 11 | Rozova Dolina | 36 | 14 | 6 | 16 | 45:52 | 48 |
| 12 | Gigant Saedinenie | 36 | 14 | 5 | 17 | 56:59 | 47 |
| 13 | Rodopa Smolyan | 36 | 14 | 4 | 18 | 51:70 | 46 |
| 14 | Atletik Kuklen | 36 | 13 | 3 | 20 | 43:78 | 42 |
| 15 | Sekirovo Rakovski | 36 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 30:53 | 35 |
| 16 | Dimitrovgrad | 36 | 10 | 5 | 21 | 42:82 | 35 |
| 17 | Lok. Plovdiv II | 36 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 44:53 | 33 |
| 18 | Rakovski 2011 | 36 | 8 | 3 | 25 | 46:94 | 27 |
| 19 | Asenovets | 36 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 30:92 | 23 |
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