Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Levski Sofia vs Kairat Almaty

Europe Europe

Champions League Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov, Sofia
Levski Sofia Logo

Levski Sofia

1 - 0
FT
Kairat Almaty Logo

Kairat Almaty

Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Serafimov N. In: Soula M.
Out: Serafimov N.
60'
Sub
Edmilson In: Bekbolat I.
Out: Edmilson
61'
Sub
Baybek O. In: Kasabulat D.
Out: Baybek O.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Levski Sofia
15%
Draws
35%
Kairat Almaty
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Levski Sofia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Kairat Almaty haven't matched Levski Sofia's recent run of results.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Levski Sofia taking it.
  • Levski Sofia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Levski Sofia, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Levski Sofia Clean Sheet 68%
Kairat Almaty Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Levski Sofia Kairat Almaty
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 19 16
Draws 7 5
Losses 2 6
Goals Scored 1.93 1.85
Goals Conceded 0.61 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 Champions League
Kairat Almaty vs Levski Sofia
0:1
Aug 4, 2026 Champions League
Levski Sofia vs Kairat Almaty
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Levski Sofia Compare

Top Goalscorer Araujo S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Kairat Almaty Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Levski Sofia 68 / 100
Kairat Almaty 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Levski Sofia Kairat Almaty

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Levski Sofia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Levski Sofia's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Levski Sofia stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Kairat Almaty conceded in 70% of 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Levski Sofia VS Kairat Almaty
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Levski Sofia

(Home)
11 Aug
Kairat Almaty
0 : 1
Levski Sofia
07 Aug
Levski Sofia
2 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv
04 Aug
Levski Sofia
1 : 0
Kairat Almaty
01 Aug
Levski Sofia
3 : 0
Septemvri Sofia
29 Jul
Univ. Craiova
2 : 2
Levski Sofia
Page 1 of 6

Kairat Almaty

(Away)
15 Aug
Kairat Almaty
3 : 1
Ulytau
11 Aug
Kairat Almaty
0 : 1
Levski Sofia
04 Aug
Levski Sofia
1 : 0
Kairat Almaty
29 Jul
Kairat Almaty
2 : 0
Omonia
26 Jul
Kairat Almaty
2 : 1
Ordabasy
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Borac Banja Luka 1
Levski Sofia 5
ML Vitebsk 1
Univ. Craiova 5
Omonia -
TBD -
Kairat Almaty 4
Sutjeska 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AEK -
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
LASK Linz -
Thun -
TBD -
TBD -
Din. Zagreb -
Klaksvik 4
Bissen 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris 4
Drita 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Viking -
Mjallby -
TBD -
Lincoln Red Imps 4
Inter Escaldes 2
Flora 4
Iberia 1999 5
TBD -
Slovan Bratislava -
Ararat-Armenia 4
Riga FC 3
Floriana 3
Shamrock Rovers 5
Petrocub Hincesti 2
KF Egnatia 7
TBD -
Celje -
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Gyor 2
TBD -
H. Beer Sheva -
Tre Fiori 1
Larne 3
TBD -
Crvena zvezda -
Aarhus -
TBD -
TBD -
Lech Poznan -
Sabah Baku 4
TNS 1
Vardar 3
KuPS 4
Fenerbahce -
TBD -
TBD -
Gornik Zabrze -
Sturm Graz -
TBD -
TBD -
Hearts -
Sparta Prague -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lyon -
Olympiacos Piraeus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nijmegen -
Royale Union SG -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bodo/Glimt -
Quarter-finals
Levski Sofia 3
Univ. Craiova 2
Omonia 1
Kairat Almaty 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AEK -
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
LASK Linz -
Thun 3
Din. Zagreb 4
Klaksvik 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Viking -
Mjallby 3
Lincoln Red Imps 0
Iberia 1999 1
Slovan Bratislava 3
Ararat-Armenia 3
Shamrock Rovers 2
KF Egnatia 5
Celje 6
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
H. Beer Sheva 3
Larne 0
Crvena zvezda 9
Aarhus 6
Lech Poznan 5
Sabah Baku 3
KuPS 0
Fenerbahce 2
Gornik Zabrze 1
Sturm Graz 6
Hearts 0
Sparta Prague -
TBD -
TBD -
Lyon -
Olympiacos Piraeus -
TBD -
TBD -
Nijmegen -
Royale Union SG -
TBD -
TBD -
Bodo/Glimt -
Semi-finals
Levski Sofia 2
Kairat Almaty 0
TBD -
AEK -
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
LASK Linz -
Din. Zagreb 7
FK Kauno Zalgiris 1
TBD -
Viking -
Mjallby 1
Slovan Bratislava 4
Ararat-Armenia 2
Celje 3
H. Beer Sheva 3
Crvena zvezda 0
Aarhus 2
Sabah Baku 5
Fenerbahce 3
Sturm Graz 0
Sparta Prague 2
Lyon 4
Olympiacos Piraeus 1
Nijmegen 2
Royale Union SG 5
Bodo/Glimt 6
Final
Levski Sofia -
AEK -
Celtic -
LASK Linz -
Din. Zagreb -
Viking -
Slovan Bratislava -
Celje -
H. Beer Sheva -
Sabah Baku -
Fenerbahce -
Lyon -
Nijmegen -
Bodo/Glimt -