Sport Picks
Levski Sofia vs Lok. Plovdiv - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Bulgaria
efbet League Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov, Sofia 
Match Events
5'
5'
Kusso D.
Assist: Soula M.
42'
42'
Ali E.
53'
53'
Moubarik M.
AI Match Summary
The efbet League game between Levski Sofia and Lok. Plovdiv finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Levski Sofia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Lok. Plovdiv haven't matched Levski Sofia's recent run of results.
- Model gives Levski Sofia a 36% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Levski Sofia have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Levski Sofia Clean Sheet 20%
Lok. Plovdiv Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Levski Sofia | Lok. Plovdiv |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 18 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 3 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.97 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.66 | 0.96 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 7, 2026 efbet League
Levski Sofia vs Lok. Plovdiv
2:0
Mar 9, 2026 efbet League
Levski Sofia vs Lok. Plovdiv
1:0
Sep 26, 2025 efbet League
Lok. Plovdiv vs Levski Sofia
1:0
Dec 4, 2024 efbet League
Levski Sofia vs Lok. Plovdiv
2:1
Aug 2, 2024 efbet League
Lok. Plovdiv vs Levski Sofia
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Levski Sofia Compare
Top Goalscorer Kusso D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Reinaldo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Lok. Plovdiv Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Levski Sofia 36 / 100
Lok. Plovdiv 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Levski Sofia Lok. Plovdiv
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Levski Sofia scored in 83% of their last 29 games.
Lok. Plovdiv let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Levski Sofia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Levski Sofia VS Lok. Plovdiv
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Levski Sofia
(Home) 18 Oct
Spartak Pleven
0 : 2 Levski Sofia
15 Oct
Nijmegen
1 : 1 Levski Sofia
11 Oct
Cherno More
0 : 2 Levski Sofia
17 Sept
Levski Sofia
0 : 1 Salzburg
13 Sept
Botev Vratsa
0 : 0 Levski Sofia
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
Levski Sofia
0 : 1 Salzburg
09 Sept
Levski Sofia
2 : 4 CSKA Sofia
05 Sept
Levski Sofia
1 : 0 CSKA 1948 Sofia
22 Aug
Levski Sofia
6 : 0 Spartak Varna
18 Aug
Levski Sofia
0 : 0 AEK
Page 1 of 4
Lok. Plovdiv
(Away) 16 Oct
Yantra Gabrovo
0 : 2 Lok. Plovdiv
10 Oct
Lok. Sofia
1 : 1 Lok. Plovdiv
02 Oct
Lok. Plovdiv
2 : 0 Arda
20 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 1 CSKA Sofia
13 Sept
Botev Plovdiv
2 : 0 Lok. Plovdiv
Page 1 of 6
16 Oct
Yantra Gabrovo
0 : 2 Lok. Plovdiv
10 Oct
Lok. Sofia
1 : 1 Lok. Plovdiv
13 Sept
Botev Plovdiv
2 : 0 Lok. Plovdiv
28 Aug
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 0 Lok. Plovdiv
07 Aug
Levski Sofia
2 : 0 Lok. Plovdiv
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 23:4 | 28 |
| 2 | CSKA Sofia | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 27:9 | 27 |
| 3 | Ludogorets | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 21:7 | 26 |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 21:13 | 22 |
| 5 | Botev Plovdiv | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:14 | 19 |
| 6 | Arda | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15:17 | 17 |
| 7 | Spartak Varna | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11:15 | 13 |
| 8 | Slavia Sofia | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 9 | Botev Vratsa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9:20 | 9 |
| 10 | Dunav Ruse | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 13:21 | 8 |
| 11 | Lok. Plovdiv | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6:14 | 8 |
| 12 | Lok. Sofia | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12:19 | 8 |
| 13 | Septemvri Sofia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10:21 | 8 |
| 14 | Cherno More | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11:22 | 6 |
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - efbet League (Relegation Group)
