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Levski Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov, Sofia
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Bouras A.
37'
Baurenski Y.
46'
Sub
Liberal A. In: Fontaine N.
Out: Liberal A.

AI Match Summary

Levski Sofia in this efbet League matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Levski Sofia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Levski Sofia
20%
Draws
29%
Septemvri Sofia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Levski Sofia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Septemvri Sofia haven't matched Levski Sofia's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Levski Sofia a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular efbet League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Levski Sofia here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Levski Sofia Clean Sheet 20%
Septemvri Sofia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Levski Sofia Septemvri Sofia
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 16 9
Draws 7 8
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 1.93 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.7 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 efbet League
Levski Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia
3:0
Nov 30, 2025 efbet League
Levski Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia
7:0
Jul 27, 2025 efbet League
Septemvri Sofia vs Levski Sofia
1:2
Apr 21, 2025 efbet League
Septemvri Sofia vs Levski Sofia
0:1
Nov 9, 2024 efbet League
Levski Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Levski Sofia Compare

Top Goalscorer Bouras A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oko-Flex A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Septemvri Sofia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Levski Sofia 40 / 100
Septemvri Sofia 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Levski Sofia Septemvri Sofia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Levski Sofia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Levski Sofia scored in 78% of their last 27 outings.

Septemvri Sofia let in goals in 70% of their last 27 matches.

Recent resilience: Levski Sofia stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Levski Sofia VS Septemvri Sofia
1.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Levski Sofia

(Home)
17 Sept
Levski Sofia
0 : 1
Salzburg
13 Sept
Botev Vratsa
0 : 0
Levski Sofia
09 Sept
Levski Sofia
2 : 4
CSKA Sofia
05 Sept
Levski Sofia
1 : 0
CSKA 1948 Sofia
02 Sept
Slavia Sofia
1 : 2
Levski Sofia
Page 1 of 6

Septemvri Sofia

(Away)
19 Sept
Septemvri Sofia
0 : 3
Botev Plovdiv
14 Sept
Ludogorets
2 : 1
Septemvri Sofia
04 Sept
Septemvri Sofia
2 : 3
Botev Vratsa
28 Aug
Slavia Sofia
1 : 1
Septemvri Sofia
23 Aug
Septemvri Sofia
1 : 0
CSKA 1948 Sofia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levski Sofia 9 8 1 0 21:4 25
2 CSKA Sofia 10 7 3 0 24:7 24
3 Ludogorets 9 7 2 0 16:7 23
4 CSKA 1948 Sofia 10 7 1 2 19:10 22
5 Arda 10 5 2 3 15:12 17
6 Botev Plovdiv 10 5 1 4 16:14 16
7 Slavia Sofia 10 2 5 3 9:8 11
8 Spartak Varna 10 2 4 4 10:15 10
9 Botev Vratsa 10 2 3 5 9:19 9
10 Septemvri Sofia 10 2 2 6 8:18 8
11 Lok. Sofia 10 1 4 5 11:18 7
12 Lok. Plovdiv 10 2 1 7 5:13 7
13 Cherno More 10 1 3 6 11:20 6
14 Dunav Ruse 10 1 2 7 10:19 5
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