Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lewart Lubartow vs Hetman Zamosc

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lewart Lubartow play Hetman Zamosc in the III Liga - Group IV 2020/2021. Lewart Lubartow are favorites here. Recently, Lewart Lubartow averaged 1.22 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. Hetman Zamosc averaged 0.9 goals scored and 3.72 conceded. In past meetings, Lewart Lubartow won 4, Hetman Zamosc won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 5, 2021 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Lewart Lubartow and 1.67 for Hetman Zamosc. This points to a Lewart Lubartow double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

66%
Lewart Lubartow
15%
Draws
19%
Hetman Zamosc
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lewart Lubartow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

92% / Very High Confidence
  • Lewart Lubartow picked up more points recently compared to Hetman Zamosc.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.67 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 49%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Lewart Lubartow Clean Sheet 13%
Hetman Zamosc Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lewart Lubartow Hetman Zamosc
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 8 4
Draws 4 1
Losses 20 24
Goals Scored 1.22 0.9
Goals Conceded 2.5 3.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 1.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2021 III Liga - Group IV
Lewart Lubartow vs Hetman Zamosc
4:1
Nov 11, 2020 III Liga - Group IV
Hetman Zamosc vs Lewart Lubartow
0:2
Apr 9, 2016 III Liga - Group VIII
Hetman Zamosc vs Lewart Lubartow
0:5
Aug 30, 2015 III Liga - Group VIII
Lewart Lubartow vs Hetman Zamosc
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lewart Lubartow Compare

Top Goalscorer Aftyka A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fularski G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Hetman Zamosc Compare

Top Goalscorer Chyrchala P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.3
Avg xA / game 0.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lewart Lubartow 62 / 100
Hetman Zamosc 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lewart Lubartow Hetman Zamosc

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lewart Lubartow Win (1)
Secondary Pick Lewart Lubartow & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.5%
1.72
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.2%
1.32
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Lewart Lubartow attacking → ← attacking Hetman Zamosc

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lewart Lubartow scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Hetman Zamosc let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Lewart Lubartow went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Hetman Zamosc lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 13
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.33
3.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.33

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Wisla Pulawy403064100:3196
2Chelmianka Chelm402271170:4573
3Sokol Sieniawa402110962:3773
4Stal Stalowa Wola402271177:4473
5Avia Swidnik4020101088:4070
6Wisloka Debica4020101075:4570
7Podhale Nowy Targ4018111158:4965
8Wolczanka Wolka Pelkinska401881474:5862
9Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski401941763:5061
10Siarka Tarnobrzeg401781559:5259
11Cracovia II401591656:4954
12Sandomierz401591653:6254
13LKS Lagow4014101657:6252
14Biala Podlaska401462060:8448
15Orleta Radzyn401452158:7147
16Lewart Lubartow4011131646:4846
17Wiazownica401372053:8146
18Korona Kielce II401262250:7842
19Stal Krasnik4010121851:5842
20Jutrzenka Giebultow40772648:10928
21Hetman Zamosc40353235:14014