Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lewart Lubartow vs Hetman Zamosc

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Zelisko K.
(Penalty)
19' Event
Aftyka A.
33' Event
Fularski G.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group IV 2020/2021 game between Lewart Lubartow and Hetman Zamosc finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lewart Lubartow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Lewart Lubartow
20%
Draws
64%
Hetman Zamosc
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hetman Zamosc

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Lewart Lubartow carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Hetman Zamosc's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group IV 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Lewart Lubartow here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Lewart Lubartow Clean Sheet 10%
Hetman Zamosc Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lewart Lubartow Hetman Zamosc
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 7 6
Draws 4 6
Losses 20 17
Goals Scored 1.19 1.34
Goals Conceded 2.58 2.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 2.26
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2021 III Liga - Group IV
Lewart Lubartow vs Hetman Zamosc
4:1
Nov 11, 2020 III Liga - Group IV
Hetman Zamosc vs Lewart Lubartow
0:2
Apr 9, 2016 III Liga - Group VIII
Hetman Zamosc vs Lewart Lubartow
0:5
Aug 30, 2015 III Liga - Group VIII
Lewart Lubartow vs Hetman Zamosc
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lewart Lubartow Compare

Top Goalscorer Aftyka A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fularski G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Hetman Zamosc Compare

Top Goalscorer Chyrchala P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.26

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lewart Lubartow 10 / 100
Hetman Zamosc 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lewart Lubartow Hetman Zamosc

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hetman Zamosc Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hetman Zamosc has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: Lewart Lubartow scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Hetman Zamosc lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lewart Lubartow VS Hetman Zamosc
0.71 Goals Scored 1.38
3.14 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
86% Over 2.5 50%
57% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lewart Lubartow

(Home)
07 Jun
Podhale Nowy Targ
4 : 0
Lewart Lubartow
30 May
Lewart Lubartow
2 : 2
Czarni Polaniec
24 May
Wisla II
4 : 2
Lewart Lubartow
21 May
Lewart Lubartow
0 : 3
Biala Podlaska
17 May
Wisloka Debica
2 : 0
Lewart Lubartow
Page 1 of 7

Hetman Zamosc

(Away)
19 Sept
Hetman Zamosc
3 : 3
Wisla II
12 Sept
Naprzod Jedrzejow
4 : 2
Hetman Zamosc
05 Sept
Hetman Zamosc
2 : 1
Moravia Morawica
29 Aug
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
4 : 2
Hetman Zamosc
22 Aug
Hetman Zamosc
0 : 1
Wislanie Skawina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wisla Pulawy 40 30 6 4 100:31 96
2 Chelmianka Chelm 40 22 7 11 70:45 73
3 Sokol Sieniawa 40 21 10 9 62:37 73
4 Stal Stalowa Wola 40 22 7 11 77:44 73
5 Avia Swidnik 40 20 10 10 88:40 70
6 Wisloka Debica 40 20 10 10 75:45 70
7 Podhale Nowy Targ 40 18 11 11 58:49 65
8 Wolczanka Wolka Pelkinska 40 18 8 14 74:58 62
9 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 40 19 4 17 63:50 61
10 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 40 17 8 15 59:52 59
11 Cracovia II 40 15 9 16 56:49 54
12 Sandomierz 40 15 9 16 53:62 54
13 LKS Lagow 40 14 10 16 57:62 52
14 Biala Podlaska 40 14 6 20 60:84 48
15 Orleta Radzyn 40 14 5 21 58:71 47
16 Lewart Lubartow 40 11 13 16 46:48 46
17 Wiazownica 40 13 7 20 53:81 46
18 Korona Kielce II 40 12 6 22 50:78 42
19 Stal Krasnik 40 10 12 18 51:58 42
20 Jutrzenka Giebultow 40 7 7 26 48:109 28
21 Hetman Zamosc 40 3 5 32 35:140 14
Promotion - Division 2 2021/2022 (Main)