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Lewes vs Canvey Island Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Ofori-Acheampong D.
28' Event
Ofori-Acheampong D.
54' Event
Walker C.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Lewes
15%
Draws
46%
Canvey Island
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Canvey Island

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lewes lately — more wins on the board than Canvey Island.
  • Lewes are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Lewes Clean Sheet 19%
Canvey Island Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lewes Canvey Island
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 5
Draws 5 6
Losses 15 19
Goals Scored 1.2 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Lewes vs Canvey Island
2:2
Jan 10, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Canvey Island vs Lewes
0:1
Mar 15, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Canvey Island vs Lewes
4:0
Nov 30, 2024 Isthmian League Premier Division
Lewes vs Canvey Island
2:1
Apr 9, 2024 Isthmian League Premier Division
Canvey Island vs Lewes
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lewes Compare

Top Goalscorer Walker C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kpakpe A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Canvey Island Compare

Top Goalscorer Ofori-Acheampong D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lewes 36 / 100
Canvey Island 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lewes Canvey Island

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canvey Island let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Lewes scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Lewes has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lewes VS Canvey Island
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.33
63% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Lewes

(Home)
03 Oct
Lewes
1 : 0
Whitehawk
26 Sept
Uxbridge
2 : 1
Lewes
19 Sept
Cheshunt
3 : 1
Lewes
15 Sept
Lewes
3 : 0
Carshalton
12 Sept
Chatham
3 : 2
Lewes
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Canvey Island

(Away)
26 Sept
Canvey Island
0 : 3
Needham Market
19 Sept
Canvey Island
0 : 1
Chelmsford
12 Sept
Canvey Island
3 : 2
Cambridge City
08 Sept
Newmarket
0 : 1
Canvey Island
05 Sept
Canvey Island
1 : 1
Newmarket
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folkestone 42 29 9 4 102:40 96
2 Aveley 42 24 12 6 90:51 84
3 Billericay 42 24 10 8 81:48 82
4 Chatham 42 24 7 11 83:35 79
5 Brentwood 42 24 6 12 84:66 78
6 Dartford 42 20 12 10 81:55 72
7 Cray Wanderers 42 17 16 9 79:71 67
8 Burgess Hill 42 20 7 15 76:81 67
9 Dulwich Hamlet 42 17 11 14 61:53 62
10 Ramsgate 42 15 12 15 73:68 57
11 St. Albans 42 16 8 18 71:59 56
12 Chichester City 42 14 13 15 57:63 55
13 Cheshunt 42 12 14 16 65:70 50
14 Whitehawk 42 12 13 17 58:72 49
15 Welling 42 15 3 24 54:75 48
16 Wingate & Finchley 42 12 10 20 55:67 46
17 Lewes 42 13 7 22 47:83 46
18 Carshalton 42 10 14 18 61:73 44
19 Cray Valley 42 11 9 22 54:80 42
20 Hashtag 42 11 9 22 60:87 42
21 Potters 42 9 3 30 46:94 30
22 Canvey Island 42 6 9 27 40:87 27
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)