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Lewes vs Carshalton

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Mills H.
(Penalty)
49' Event
Walker C.
65' Event
Gondoh R.

AI Match Summary

The Isthmian League Premier Division game between Lewes and Carshalton finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lewes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Lewes
15%
Draws
49%
Carshalton
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Carshalton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Carshalton come out ahead of Lewes on wins alone.
  • Lewes are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Isthmian League Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Lewes Clean Sheet 19%
Carshalton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lewes Carshalton
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 8 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.13 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Lewes vs Carshalton
3:0
Nov 11, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Lewes vs Carshalton
2:3
Aug 11, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Carshalton vs Lewes
1:2
Apr 18, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Lewes vs Carshalton
1:3
Sep 7, 2024 Isthmian League Premier Division
Carshalton vs Lewes
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lewes Compare

Top Goalscorer Walker C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gondoh R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Carshalton Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lewes 85 / 100
Carshalton 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lewes Carshalton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lewes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lewes found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Carshalton conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Carshalton's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lewes VS Carshalton
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lewes

(Home)
26 Sept
Uxbridge
2 : 1
Lewes
19 Sept
Cheshunt
3 : 1
Lewes
15 Sept
Lewes
3 : 0
Carshalton
12 Sept
Chatham
3 : 2
Lewes
08 Sept
Cray Wanderers
1 : 0
Lewes
Page 1 of 7

Carshalton

(Away)
19 Sept
Maldon & Tiptree
2 : 3
Carshalton
15 Sept
Lewes
3 : 0
Carshalton
12 Sept
Carshalton
0 : 3
Dartford
07 Sept
Carshalton
1 : 2
Chertsey Town
05 Sept
Chertsey Town
1 : 1
Carshalton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Enfield Town 8 6 0 2 23:11 18
2 Welling 8 6 0 2 18:9 18
3 Dartford 8 6 0 2 13:8 18
4 Carshalton 9 6 0 3 15:13 18
5 Lewes 9 5 1 3 14:11 16
6 Leatherhead 9 4 3 2 17:15 15
7 St. Albans 8 4 2 2 17:13 14
8 Ramsgate 8 4 1 3 19:10 13
9 Dulwich Hamlet 7 4 1 2 16:9 13
10 Eastbourne Borough 8 4 1 3 14:11 13
11 Chatham 8 4 0 4 16:13 12
12 Wingate & Finchley 8 3 2 3 13:18 11
13 Aveley 8 3 1 4 16:14 10
14 Burgess Hill 7 2 4 1 11:9 10
15 Cray Wanderers 7 2 3 2 13:11 9
16 Maldon & Tiptree 8 3 0 5 12:21 9
17 Cheshunt 9 1 5 3 7:12 8
18 Brentwood 8 2 0 6 13:15 6
19 Whyteleafe 8 1 3 4 10:17 6
20 Whitehawk 8 1 2 5 9:19 5
21 Three Bridges 9 1 2 6 16:28 5
22 Stanway Rovers 8 1 1 6 6:21 4
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)