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Lewes vs Concord Rangers

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Day H.
(Penalty)
35' Event
Whelpdale Ch.
58' Event
Ogunwamide O.

AI Match Summary

The Isthmian League Premier Division 2023/2024 game between Lewes and Concord Rangers finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lewes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Lewes
15%
Draws
27%
Concord Rangers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lewes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Concord Rangers haven't matched Lewes's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Lewes a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Lewes Clean Sheet 10%
Concord Rangers Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lewes Concord Rangers
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 4
Draws 5 4
Losses 15 22
Goals Scored 1.09 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.72 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2024 Isthmian League Premier Division
Lewes vs Concord Rangers
2:1
Dec 2, 2023 Isthmian League Premier Division
Concord Rangers vs Lewes
4:1
Feb 9, 2013 Isthmian League Premier Division
Lewes vs Concord Rangers
0:3
Dec 15, 2012 Isthmian League Premier Division
Concord Rangers vs Lewes
3:6
Apr 21, 2012 Isthmian League Premier Division
Concord Rangers vs Lewes
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lewes Compare

Top Goalscorer Whelpdale Ch.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ogunwamide O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Concord Rangers Compare

Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lewes 83 / 100
Concord Rangers 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lewes Concord Rangers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lewes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Concord Rangers has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Lewes remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Lewes scored in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lewes VS Concord Rangers
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.33
100% Over 1.5 67%
88% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Lewes

(Home)
31 Aug
Lewes
1 : 0
Eastbourne Borough
29 Aug
Aveley
0 : 2
Lewes
22 Aug
Lewes
3 : 1
Whyteleafe
15 Aug
St. Albans
0 : 2
Lewes
11 Aug
Whitehawk
0 : 0
Lewes
Page 1 of 7

Concord Rangers

(Away)
29 Aug
Concord Rangers
2 : 1
FC Witham Town
25 Jul
Concord Rangers
4 : 0
Hastings
06 Sept
Concord Rangers
2 : 3
Biggleswade FC
15 Jul
Aveley
4 : 0
Concord Rangers
16 Dec
Aveley
1 : 0
Concord Rangers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hornchurch 42 31 7 4 95:34 100
2 Chatham 42 24 7 11 87:61 79
3 Enfield Town 42 22 11 9 81:54 77
4 Wingate & Finchley 42 23 7 12 78:62 76
5 Horsham FC 42 23 7 12 64:50 76
6 Billericay 42 23 4 15 78:52 73
7 Hastings 42 19 10 13 71:54 67
8 Lewes 42 20 7 15 68:70 67
9 Whitehawk 42 17 14 11 63:54 65
10 Bognor Regis 42 16 14 12 78:63 62
11 Carshalton 42 17 11 14 73:59 62
12 Dulwich Hamlet 42 17 11 14 77:72 62
13 Hashtag 42 15 14 13 82:75 59
14 Canvey Island 42 16 6 20 62:74 54
15 Potters 42 14 9 19 65:70 51
16 Folkestone 42 13 11 18 60:71 50
17 Cray Wanderers 42 13 11 18 54:66 50
18 Cheshunt 42 12 7 23 58:72 43
19 Margate 42 10 9 23 50:80 39
20 Haringey Borough 42 6 9 27 32:88 27
21 Concord Rangers 42 6 8 28 34:82 26
22 Kingstonian 42 5 6 31 55:102 21
Promotion - National League South 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division 2023/2024 (Play Offs)