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Lewes vs Dulwich Hamlet

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
West D.
24' Event
West D.
43' Event
Mills D.

AI Match Summary

Lewes in this Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lewes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Lewes
15%
Draws
59%
Dulwich Hamlet
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dulwich Hamlet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Medium Confidence
  • Dulwich Hamlet have won more games recently than Lewes.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Lewes taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Lewes Clean Sheet 19%
Dulwich Hamlet Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lewes Dulwich Hamlet
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 8 12
Draws 4 4
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Lewes vs Dulwich Hamlet
2:1
Dec 13, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Dulwich Hamlet vs Lewes
1:4
Mar 1, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Dulwich Hamlet vs Lewes
1:3
Dec 10, 2024 Isthmian League Premier Division
Lewes vs Dulwich Hamlet
2:2
Mar 16, 2024 Isthmian League Premier Division
Dulwich Hamlet vs Lewes
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lewes Compare

Top Goalscorer West D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Dulwich Hamlet Compare

Top Goalscorer Mills D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lewes 36 / 100
Dulwich Hamlet 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lewes Dulwich Hamlet

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Dulwich Hamlet conceded in 81% of 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Lewes scored in 70% of their last 27 games.

Lewes went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lewes VS Dulwich Hamlet
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lewes

(Home)
25 Jul
Lewes
1 : 2
Dorking Wanderers
18 Jul
Lewes
2 : 1
Hastings
25 Apr
Chatham
2 : 1
Lewes
18 Apr
Lewes
1 : 1
Wingate & Finchley
11 Apr
Cray Wanderers
3 : 0
Lewes
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Dulwich Hamlet

(Away)
28 Jul
Dulwich Hamlet
1 : 0
Dorking Wanderers
25 Jul
Tonbridge
3 : 1
Dulwich Hamlet
25 Apr
Hashtag
1 : 2
Dulwich Hamlet
18 Apr
Dulwich Hamlet
2 : 0
Burgess Hill
11 Apr
Welling
2 : 0
Dulwich Hamlet
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folkestone 42 29 9 4 102:40 96
2 Aveley 42 24 12 6 90:51 84
3 Billericay 42 24 10 8 81:48 82
4 Chatham 42 24 7 11 83:35 79
5 Brentwood 42 24 6 12 84:66 78
6 Dartford 42 20 12 10 81:55 72
7 Cray Wanderers 42 17 16 9 79:71 67
8 Burgess Hill 42 20 7 15 76:81 67
9 Dulwich Hamlet 42 17 11 14 61:53 62
10 Ramsgate 42 15 12 15 73:68 57
11 St. Albans 42 16 8 18 71:59 56
12 Chichester City 42 14 13 15 57:63 55
13 Cheshunt 42 12 14 16 65:70 50
14 Whitehawk 42 12 13 17 58:72 49
15 Welling 42 15 3 24 54:75 48
16 Wingate & Finchley 42 12 10 20 55:67 46
17 Lewes 42 13 7 22 47:83 46
18 Carshalton 42 10 14 18 61:73 44
19 Cray Valley 42 11 9 22 54:80 42
20 Hashtag 42 11 9 22 60:87 42
21 Potters 42 9 3 30 46:94 30
22 Canvey Island 42 6 9 27 40:87 27
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)