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Lewes vs Hastings

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Fisher N.
58' Event
68' Event
Walker C.

AI Match Summary

Lewes in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lewes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Lewes
20%
Draws
57%
Hastings
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hastings

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lewes lately — more wins on the board than Hastings.
  • Win probability leans Hastings's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Lewes have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Lewes Clean Sheet 20%
Hastings Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lewes Hastings
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 9 6
Draws 5 7
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.2 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Lewes vs Hastings
2:1
Feb 1, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Hastings vs Lewes
0:1
Sep 21, 2024 Isthmian League Premier Division
Lewes vs Hastings
1:1
Feb 10, 2024 Isthmian League Premier Division
Hastings vs Lewes
1:3
Sep 26, 2023 Isthmian League Premier Division
Lewes vs Hastings
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lewes Compare

Top Goalscorer Fisher N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Walker C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Hastings Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lewes 20 / 100
Hastings 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lewes Hastings

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hastings Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lewes scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Hastings let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Lewes stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lewes VS Hastings
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lewes

(Home)
19 Sept
Cheshunt
3 : 1
Lewes
15 Sept
Lewes
3 : 0
Carshalton
12 Sept
Chatham
3 : 2
Lewes
08 Sept
Cray Wanderers
1 : 0
Lewes
05 Sept
Lewes
2 : 2
Cray Wanderers
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Hastings

(Away)
12 Sept
Hastings
2 : 1
Bognor Regis
29 Aug
Hastings
2 : 1
Hendon
01 Aug
Hastings
0 : 0
Hashtag
28 Jul
Eastbourne United
0 : 4
Hastings
25 Jul
Concord Rangers
4 : 0
Hastings
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