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Lewes vs Whitehawk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

87' Event
Richardson M.

AI Match Summary

Lewes in this Isthmian League Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lewes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Lewes
15%
Draws
42%
Whitehawk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lewes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Lewes have won more games recently than Whitehawk.
  • Model gives Lewes a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Lewes Clean Sheet 15%
Whitehawk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lewes Whitehawk
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 4
Draws 5 7
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.21 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.54 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Lewes vs Whitehawk
1:0
Aug 11, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Whitehawk vs Lewes
0:0
Apr 6, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Lewes vs Whitehawk
3:0
Feb 24, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Whitehawk vs Lewes
3:1
Jan 21, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Whitehawk vs Lewes
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lewes Compare

Top Goalscorer Richardson M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Whitehawk Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lewes 35 / 100
Whitehawk 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lewes Whitehawk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Whitehawk has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Lewes's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Whitehawk registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lewes VS Whitehawk
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Lewes

(Home)
03 Oct
Lewes
1 : 0
Whitehawk
26 Sept
Uxbridge
2 : 1
Lewes
19 Sept
Cheshunt
3 : 1
Lewes
15 Sept
Lewes
3 : 0
Carshalton
12 Sept
Chatham
3 : 2
Lewes
Page 1 of 6

Whitehawk

(Away)
03 Oct
Lewes
1 : 0
Whitehawk
29 Sept
Dartford
2 : 1
Whitehawk
26 Sept
Whyteleafe
1 : 4
Whitehawk
15 Sept
Whitehawk
3 : 2
Three Bridges
12 Sept
Maldon & Tiptree
3 : 2
Whitehawk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Welling 10 8 0 2 20:9 24
2 Enfield Town 9 7 0 2 25:12 21
3 Dartford 10 7 0 3 16:11 21
4 Carshalton 11 7 0 4 18:19 21
5 Lewes 10 6 1 3 15:11 19
6 Ramsgate 10 5 1 4 23:14 16
7 Dulwich Hamlet 8 5 1 2 18:9 16
8 Eastbourne Borough 9 5 1 3 18:11 16
9 Leatherhead 9 4 3 2 17:15 15
10 St. Albans 8 4 2 2 17:13 14
11 Burgess Hill 8 3 4 1 15:10 13
12 Cray Wanderers 8 3 3 2 18:12 12
13 Chatham 8 4 0 4 16:13 12
14 Cheshunt 10 2 5 3 9:13 11
15 Wingate & Finchley 8 3 2 3 13:18 11
16 Aveley 10 3 1 6 17:18 10
17 Brentwood 9 3 0 6 15:16 9
18 Maldon & Tiptree 11 3 0 8 14:31 9
19 Whyteleafe 10 1 3 6 11:20 6
20 Three Bridges 9 1 2 6 16:28 5
21 Whitehawk 10 1 2 7 10:22 5
22 Stanway Rovers 9 1 1 7 7:23 4
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)