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Lewes W vs Crystal Palace W

England England

Women’s FA Cup The Dripping Pan, Lewes
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Lewes W
35%
Draws
40%
Crystal Palace W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Crystal Palace W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Crystal Palace W lately — more wins on the board than Lewes W.
  • Model gives Lewes W a 25% chance of winning this.
  • Crystal Palace W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Crystal Palace W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Crystal Palace W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Lewes W Clean Sheet 18%
Crystal Palace W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lewes W Crystal Palace W
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 17
Draws 2 4
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 2.07 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 14, 2025 Women’s FA Cup
Lewes W vs Crystal Palace W
0:1
Apr 21, 2024 WSL 2
Lewes W vs Crystal Palace W
0:2
Nov 12, 2023 WSL 2
Crystal Palace W vs Lewes W
3:2
Oct 11, 2023 Women's League Cup
Lewes W vs Crystal Palace W
2:1
Apr 23, 2023 WSL 2
Crystal Palace W vs Lewes W
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lewes W 58 / 100
Crystal Palace W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lewes W Crystal Palace W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lewes W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Lewes W scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Crystal Palace W conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

Lewes W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lewes W VS Crystal Palace W
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lewes W

(Home)
20 Sept
Lewes W
3 : 0
Cheltenham W
13 Sept
Lewes W
1 : 1
Bournemouth W
30 Aug
Exeter W
3 : 1
Lewes W
23 Aug
Oxford Utd W
3 : 0
Lewes W
16 Aug
Lewes W
1 : 1
Hashtag W
Page 1 of 6

Crystal Palace W

(Away)
27 Sept
Birmingham W
3 : 3
Crystal Palace W
23 Sept
Crystal Palace W
1 : 0
Watford W
20 Sept
Crystal Palace W
0 : 7
Tottenham W
13 Sept
Arsenal W
0 : 0
Crystal Palace W
06 Sept
Crystal Palace W
1 : 0
Everton W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Hashtag W 1
Oxford Utd W 2
Luton W 3
Mansfield W 0
Plymouth W 7
Maidstone W 0
Winchester City W 0
Gwalia United W 4
Middlesbrough W 4
Cheadle Town W 0
Northampton W 3
Sudbury W 2
South Shields W 0
AFC Fylde W 5
Kidderminster W 1
Redditch Borough FC W 0
Charlton W -
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Actonians W 0
Watford W 5
Saltdean United W 1
Bromley W 0
Leafield Athletic W 8
Crusaders W 0
Port Vale W 1
Worcester W 2
Oxford City W 4
Sherborne Town W 2
Swindon W 1
Dulwich Hamlet W 0
Dartford W 5
Forest Green W 1
Keynsham Town W 1
Bournemouth Sports W 0
London Bees W 5
Barking W 3
Portishead Town W 1
Billericay W 0
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Liverpool W -
Huddersfield W 4
Wythenshawe FC W 2
Leeds W 5
St Helens W 1
Solihull Moors W 0
West Brom W 3
Nottingham University W 1
Cambridge Utd W 2
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Everton W -
Mancunian Unity W 3
International Soccer Academy W 2
Durham Cestria W 6
Dronfield Town W 1
Lincoln Utd. W 1
Stourbridge W 3
Halifax W 1
Hull City W 4
Birmingham W -
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Sporting Khalsa W 2
Loughborough Lightning W 1
Hednesford W 2
SJR Worksop W 1
Bowers & Pitsea W 3
Wimborne W 2
Brentford W 1
Sutton W 2
Torquay W 0
Exeter W 6
AFC Wimbledon W 3
Chatham W 4
Bolton W 1
Ponteland United W 2
Penrith W 2
Altrincham W 3
York City W 1
Leeds Modernians W 0
Wroxham W 3
Lye Town W 0
Farnham W 0
Leyton Orient W 8
Millbrook W 0
Bournemouth W 11
Haringey Borough W 0
Bristol Rovers W 3
Fulham W 5
South London W 0
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Manchester City W -
Portchester W 6
Gloucester City W 2
Worthing FC W 4
Abingdon W 1
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Ipswich W -
Durham W -
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Sheffield Utd W -
Chelsea W -
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Millwall W 0
Cheltenham W 2
Lewes W 4
Corsham Town W 0
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Crystal Palace W -
Manchester United W -
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Burnley W 12
Blackburn W 0
Stevenage W 3
Norwich W 4
Peterborough W 4
Real Bedford W 1
Manchester Laces W 1
Wallsend W 3
Coventry Sphinx W 0
Derby W 6
Stockport W 3
Tranmere W 0
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Sunderland W -
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London City Lionesses W -
Tottenham W -
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Leicester W -
Arsenal W -
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Aston Villa W -
Southampton FC W -
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Wycombe W 1
Bridgwater United W 2
Royston Town W 1
Coundon Court W 0
Bristol City W -
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Portsmouth W -
Newcastle Utd W -
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Liverpool Feds W 4
Chester-Le-Street Town W 0
Crewe W 1
Boldmere St Michaels W 2
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West Ham W -
Brighton W -
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Wolverhampton W 2
Rugby Borough W 1
Stoke City LFC W 7
Sutton Coldfield Town W 0
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Nottingham W -
1/64-finals
Oxford Utd W 3
Luton W 1
Plymouth W 2
Gwalia United W 0
Middlesbrough W 3
Northampton W 0
AFC Fylde W 4
Kidderminster W 0
Charlton W -
TBD -
Watford W 4
Saltdean United W 0
Leafield Athletic W 2
Worcester W 1
Oxford City W 0
Swindon W 3
Dartford W 2
Keynsham Town W 1
London Bees W 5
Portishead Town W 0
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Liverpool W -
Huddersfield W 1
Leeds W 3
West Brom W 2
Cambridge Utd W 0
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Everton W -
Mancunian Unity W 2
Durham Cestria W 1
Stourbridge W 1
Hull City W 7
Birmingham W -
TBD -
Sporting Khalsa W 2
Hednesford W 0
Bowers & Pitsea W 2
Sutton W 3
Exeter W 2
Chatham W 3
Ponteland United W 0
Altrincham W 1
York City W 3
Wroxham W 1
Leyton Orient W 1
Bournemouth W 7
Bristol Rovers W 1
Fulham W 3
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Manchester City W -
Portchester W 4
Worthing FC W 1
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Ipswich W -
Durham W -
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Sheffield Utd W -
Chelsea W -
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Cheltenham W 0
Lewes W 4
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Crystal Palace W -
Manchester United W -
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Burnley W 4
Norwich W 0
Peterborough W 4
Wallsend W 0
Derby W 4
Stockport W 1
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Sunderland W -
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London City Lionesses W -
Tottenham W -
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Leicester W -
Arsenal W -
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Aston Villa W -
Southampton FC W -
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Bridgwater United W 1
Royston Town W 2
Bristol City W -
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Portsmouth W -
Newcastle Utd W -
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Liverpool Feds W 5
Boldmere St Michaels W 0
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West Ham W -
Brighton W -
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Wolverhampton W 2
Stoke City LFC W 0
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Nottingham W -
1/32-finals
Oxford Utd W 2
Plymouth W 1
Middlesbrough W 3
AFC Fylde W 0
Charlton W 3
Watford W 2
Leafield Athletic W 2
Swindon W 3
Dartford W 2
London Bees W 3
TBD -
Liverpool W -
Leeds W 0
West Brom W 3
TBD -
Everton W -
Mancunian Unity W 1
Hull City W 2
Birmingham W 6
Sporting Khalsa W 0
Sutton W 0
Chatham W 3
Altrincham W 0
York City W 3
Bournemouth W 5
Fulham W 0
TBD -
Manchester City W -
Portchester W 0
Ipswich W 5
Durham W 0
Sheffield Utd W 1
Chelsea W -
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Lewes W 0
Crystal Palace W 1
Manchester United W -
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Burnley W 7
Peterborough W 0
Derby W 1
Sunderland W 5
TBD -
London City Lionesses W -
Tottenham W -
TBD -
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Leicester W -
Arsenal W -
TBD -
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Aston Villa W -
Southampton FC W 10
Royston Town W 0
Bristol City W 2
Portsmouth W 0
Newcastle Utd W 4
Liverpool Feds W 0
TBD -
West Ham W -
Brighton W -
TBD -
Wolverhampton W 1
Nottingham W 2
1/16-finals
Oxford Utd W 3
Middlesbrough W 1
Charlton W 10
Swindon W 0
London Bees W 0
Liverpool W 6
West Brom W 0
Everton W 5
Hull City W 2
Birmingham W 6
Chatham W 3
York City W 0
Bournemouth W 0
Manchester City W 6
Ipswich W 1
Sheffield Utd W 2
Chelsea W 5
Crystal Palace W 0
Manchester United W 5
Burnley W 0
Sunderland W 0
London City Lionesses W 1
Tottenham W 3
Leicester W 0
Arsenal W 2
Aston Villa W 0
Southampton FC W 1
Bristol City W 2
Newcastle Utd W 0
West Ham W 3
Brighton W 2
Nottingham W 0
1/8-finals
Oxford Utd W 0
Charlton W 1
Liverpool W 2
Everton W 1
Birmingham W 8
Chatham W 0
Manchester City W 4
Sheffield Utd W 0
Chelsea W 2
Manchester United W 1
London City Lionesses W 2
Tottenham W 3
Arsenal W 3
Bristol City W 0
West Ham W 1
Brighton W 2
Quarter-finals
Charlton W 0
Liverpool W 1
Arsenal W 0
Brighton W 2
Chelsea W 2
Tottenham W 1
Birmingham W 0
Manchester City W 1
Semi-finals
Liverpool W 2
Brighton W 3
Chelsea W 2
Manchester City W 3
Final
Brighton W 0
Manchester City W 4