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Lewes W vs Real Bedford W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Women's National League South
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lewes W host Real Bedford W in the Women's National League South. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Lewes W at 2 goals for, 1.21 against; Real Bedford W at 1.79 for, 1.69 against. Past meetings favor Lewes W slightly — 2-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 25, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (2.00 - 1.31) back Lewes W to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Lewes W
20%
Draws
44%
Real Bedford W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Real Bedford W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Lewes W have won more games recently than Real Bedford W.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Lewes W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Lewes W Clean Sheet 18%
Real Bedford W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lewes W Real Bedford W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 3 3
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 2 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Women's National League South
Real Bedford W vs Lewes W
1:2
Aug 31, 2025 Women's National League South
Lewes W vs Real Bedford W
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lewes W 40 / 100
Real Bedford W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lewes W Real Bedford W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lewes W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Bedford W has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Lewes W scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Lewes W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lewes W VS Real Bedford W
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lewes W

(Home)
04 Oct
Portsmouth W
0 : 0
Lewes W
20 Sept
Lewes W
3 : 0
Cheltenham W
13 Sept
Lewes W
1 : 1
Bournemouth W
30 Aug
Exeter W
3 : 1
Lewes W
23 Aug
Oxford Utd W
3 : 0
Lewes W
Page 1 of 6

Real Bedford W

(Away)
04 Oct
Plymouth W
1 : 3
Real Bedford W
20 Sept
Real Bedford W
0 : 2
Portsmouth W
13 Sept
AFC Wimbledon W
2 : 0
Real Bedford W
30 Aug
Real Bedford W
2 : 1
Swindon W
23 Aug
Real Bedford W
1 : 4
Fulham W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oxford Utd W 6 6 0 0 23:0 18
2 Bournemouth W 6 4 1 1 9:4 13
3 Fulham W 5 4 0 1 13:4 12
4 Portsmouth W 5 3 1 1 10:1 10
5 Real Bedford W 6 3 0 3 9:11 9
6 Exeter W 6 2 2 2 10:12 8
7 AFC Wimbledon W 4 2 1 1 8:1 7
8 Lewes W 6 1 3 2 6:8 6
9 Hashtag W 6 1 3 2 9:13 6
10 Swindon W 6 1 1 4 6:14 4
11 Cheltenham W 6 0 2 4 8:19 2
12 Plymouth W 6 0 0 6 3:27 0
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