Sport Picks
Lexington vs Oakland Roots
USA
USL Championship Toyota Stadium, Georgetown, KY 
Match Events
45'
45'
Hackshaw N.
50'
50'
Goodrum P.
Assist: Nick Firmino
54'
54'
Goodrum P.
AI Match Summary
Lexington in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lexington.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
73%
20%
7%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lexington
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
73%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Lexington lately — more wins on the board than Oakland Roots.
- Lexington are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Lexington have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Lexington Clean Sheet 19%
Oakland Roots Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lexington | Oakland Roots |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 14 | 7 |
| Draws | 4 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.82 | 1.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.36 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 22, 2026 USL Championship
Lexington vs Oakland Roots
2:0
Oct 26, 2025 USL Championship
Oakland Roots vs Lexington
3:0
Aug 23, 2025 USL Championship
Lexington vs Oakland Roots
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lexington Compare
Top Goalscorer Goodrum P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ferri B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Oakland Roots Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lexington 58 / 100
Oakland Roots 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lexington Oakland Roots
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lexington Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Oakland Roots's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 27 matches.
Lexington scored in 75% of their last 28 games.
Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.
Lexington went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Lexington VS Oakland Roots
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Lexington
(Home) 08 Aug
Lexington
1 : 0 Phoenix Rising
01 Aug
Lexington
3 : 2 Monterey Bay
26 Jul
FC Tulsa
0 : 0 Lexington
22 Jul
Lexington
2 : 0 Oakland Roots
15 Jul
Lexington
1 : 4 New Mexico
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Lexington
1 : 0 Phoenix Rising
01 Aug
Lexington
3 : 2 Monterey Bay
22 Jul
Lexington
2 : 0 Oakland Roots
15 Jul
Lexington
1 : 4 New Mexico
20 Jun
Lexington
0 : 1 Indy Eleven
Page 1 of 3
Oakland Roots
(Away) 09 Aug
El Paso Locomotive
1 : 0 Oakland Roots
06 Aug
Las Vegas Lights
0 : 0 Oakland Roots
02 Aug
Oakland Roots
0 : 1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds
26 Jul
Oakland Roots
1 : 3 Sacramento Republic
22 Jul
Lexington
2 : 0 Oakland Roots
Page 1 of 6
09 Aug
El Paso Locomotive
1 : 0 Oakland Roots
06 Aug
Las Vegas Lights
0 : 0 Oakland Roots
22 Jul
Lexington
2 : 0 Oakland Roots
05 Jul
New Mexico
2 : 1 Oakland Roots
21 Jun
Phoenix Rising
3 : 4 Oakland Roots
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 36:19 | 41 |
| 2 | Charleston | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 38:24 | 33 |
| 3 | Detroit City | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 26:17 | 31 |
| 4 | Louisville City | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 33:32 | 28 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 20:20 | 27 |
| 6 | Rhode Island | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 27:19 | 25 |
| 7 | Indy Eleven | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 20:21 | 22 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 24:32 | 22 |
| 9 | Hartford Athletic | 18 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 13:17 | 21 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 21:30 | 18 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 18:21 | 17 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17:32 | 13 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 23:51 | 8 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orange County SC | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 29:22 | 34 |
| 2 | San Antonio FC | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 26:21 | 32 |
| 3 | New Mexico | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 25:17 | 30 |
| 4 | FC Tulsa | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20:17 | 29 |
| 5 | Lexington | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 28:22 | 28 |
| 6 | El Paso Locomotive | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 29:27 | 28 |
| 7 | Sacramento Republic | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 24:16 | 27 |
| 8 | Las Vegas Lights | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:27 | 26 |
| 9 | Colorado Springs | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 28:26 | 25 |
| 10 | Phoenix Rising | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 24:26 | 22 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 25:29 | 22 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 21:36 | 15 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
