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Lexington vs Brooklyn FC

USA USA

USL Championship Toyota Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lexington play Brooklyn FC in the USL Championship. It looks like a close match. Recently, Lexington averaged 2.25 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Brooklyn FC averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. In past meetings, Lexington won 1, Brooklyn FC won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 25, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for Lexington and 1.38 for Brooklyn FC. This points to a Lexington double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Lexington
22%
Draws
18%
Brooklyn FC
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Lexington

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Lexington has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Brooklyn FC.
  • Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Lexington.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in USL Championship provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Lexington Clean Sheet 17%
Brooklyn FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lexington Brooklyn FC
Matches Played 28 19
Wins 12 6
Draws 4 3
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 2.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2026 USL Championship
Lexington vs Brooklyn FC
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lexington Compare

Top Goalscorer Molloy A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ferri B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Brooklyn FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lexington 57 / 100
Brooklyn FC 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lexington Brooklyn FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEX Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lexington scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Brooklyn FC let in goals in 74% of their last 19 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Lexington went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Brooklyn FC lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lexington VS Brooklyn FC
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay1594224:1231
2Charleston1582530:2126
3Detroit City1473421:1424
4Louisville City1573525:2224
5Indy Eleven1263318:1221
6Pittsburgh Riverhounds1362515:1520
7Hartford Athletic1447312:1319
8Miami FC1546518:2418
9Rhode Island1344523:1816
10Birmingham Legion1528516:1914
11Brooklyn FC1433815:2412
12Loudoun United1418517:2811
13Sporting Jax15041119:414
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Orange County SC1677225:1828
2San Antonio FC1567220:1725
3New Mexico1363415:1421
4Oakland Roots1556424:2221
5Colorado Springs1454524:2219
6Sacramento Republic1354415:1319
7El Paso Locomotive1454525:2419
8FC Tulsa1354417:1619
9Lexington1353521:1618
10Phoenix Rising1545620:2217
11Las Vegas Lights1443721:2515
12Monterey Bay1543814:2215