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Lexington vs Fort Wayne

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Lexington and Fort Wayne finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lexington.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Lexington
15%
Draws
20%
Fort Wayne
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lexington

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lexington come out ahead of Fort Wayne on wins alone.
  • Lexington are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Lexington Clean Sheet 16%
Fort Wayne Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lexington Fort Wayne
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 4 6
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.76 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2026 Club Friendly
Lexington vs Fort Wayne
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lexington 84 / 100
Fort Wayne 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lexington Fort Wayne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lexington Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lexington found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Fort Wayne conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Lexington has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lexington VS Fort Wayne
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lexington

(Home)
16 Aug
Sacramento Republic
1 : 0
Lexington
08 Aug
Lexington
1 : 0
Phoenix Rising
01 Aug
Lexington
3 : 2
Monterey Bay
26 Jul
FC Tulsa
0 : 0
Lexington
22 Jul
Lexington
2 : 0
Oakland Roots
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Fort Wayne

(Away)
15 Aug
Fort Wayne
1 : 2
Chattanooga Red Wolves
09 Aug
AV Alta FC
3 : 0
Fort Wayne
01 Aug
Fort Wayne
0 : 2
Union Omaha
26 Jul
Spokane Velocity
3 : 1
Fort Wayne
18 Jul
Fort Wayne
3 : 0
Greenville Triumph
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