Sport Picks
Lexington vs New Mexico
USA
USL Championship Toyota Stadium 
AI Match Summary
Lexington play New Mexico in the USL Championship. It looks like a close match. Recently, Lexington averaged 1.74 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. New Mexico averaged 1.52 goals scored and 1.66 conceded. In past meetings, Lexington won 1, New Mexico won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 28, 2025 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Lexington and 1.13 for New Mexico. This points to a New Mexico double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Lexington picked up more points recently compared to New Mexico.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.13 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lexington | New Mexico |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 13 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.74 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.66 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lexington scored in 70% of their last 27 games.
New Mexico let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Lexington went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
New Mexico lost 0 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 24:12 | 31 |
| 2 | Charleston | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 30:21 | 26 |
| 3 | Detroit City | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 21:14 | 24 |
| 4 | Louisville City | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25:22 | 24 |
| 5 | Indy Eleven | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18:12 | 21 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 15:15 | 20 |
| 7 | Hartford Athletic | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 10:11 | 18 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 18:24 | 18 |
| 9 | Rhode Island | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 22:16 | 16 |
| 10 | Birmingham Legion | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 16:19 | 14 |
| 11 | Brooklyn FC | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15:24 | 12 |
| 12 | Loudoun United | 14 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 17:28 | 11 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 15 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 19:41 | 4 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orange County SC | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 23:16 | 27 |
| 2 | San Antonio FC | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 20:17 | 25 |
| 3 | New Mexico | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 15:14 | 21 |
| 4 | Oakland Roots | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 24:22 | 21 |
| 5 | Colorado Springs | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24:22 | 19 |
| 6 | El Paso Locomotive | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 25:24 | 19 |
| 7 | FC Tulsa | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 17:16 | 19 |
| 8 | Lexington | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 21:16 | 18 |
| 9 | Phoenix Rising | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20:22 | 17 |
| 10 | Sacramento Republic | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13:12 | 16 |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 21:25 | 15 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14:22 | 15 |