Sport Picks
Lexington W vs Tampa Bay Sun W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL Super League Women Toyota Stadium, Georgetown, KY 
AI Match Summary
Lexington W host Tampa Bay Sun W in the USL Super League Women. This one's hard to separate. Lexington W have averaged 1.68 scored and 0.82 conceded recently, against Tampa Bay Sun W's 1.07 scored and 1.57 conceded. Head-to-head, Lexington W have won 2 to Tampa Bay Sun W's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Oct 4, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 0.88, favoring Lexington W. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Lexington W have won more games recently than Tampa Bay Sun W.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular USL Super League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lexington W | Tampa Bay Sun W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 16 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 5 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.68 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.82 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lexington W scored in 82% of their last 28 games.
Tampa Bay Sun W let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Solid form: Lexington W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Lexington W
(Home)Tampa Bay Sun W
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carolina Ascent W | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:6 | 16 |
| 2 | DC Power W | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:8 | 11 |
| 3 | Sporting Jax W | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:10 | 11 |
| 4 | Lexington W | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:4 | 10 |
| 5 | Dallas Trinity W | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:11 | 10 |
| 6 | Tampa Bay Sun W | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:8 | 9 |
| 7 | Brooklyn W | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5:14 | 6 |
| 8 | Fort Lauderdale United W | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4:11 | 3 |
