Sport Picks

England

EFL Trophy 2025/2026 Brisbane Road, London

Leyton Orient

2 - 1

Crawley Town

Our Tip

Match Events

Flower L.

38'

Anderson M.

40'

Mitchell D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Leyton Orient advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%

Leyton Orient

15%

Draws

21%

Crawley Town

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leyton Orient

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence

Leyton Orient carry the better recent record into this one.
64% — that's where the model lands on Leyton Orient taking it.
Leyton Orient have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Leyton Orient, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 5 times recently and Leyton Orient have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%

Leyton Orient Clean Sheet 20%

Crawley Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Leyton Orient	Crawley Town
Matches Played	31	29
Wins	16	7
Draws	4	10
Losses	11	12
Goals Scored	1.74	0.86
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.14
Expected Goals (xG)	1.56	0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2025 EFL Trophy

Leyton Orient vs Crawley Town

2:1

Apr 12, 2025 League One

Crawley Town vs Leyton Orient

1:3

Dec 26, 2024 League One

Leyton Orient vs Crawley Town

3:0

Feb 18, 2023 League Two

Leyton Orient vs Crawley Town

1:0

Aug 6, 2022 League Two

Crawley Town vs Leyton Orient

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leyton Orient Compare

Top Goalscorer Mitchell D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Connolly A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.2

Avg xA / game 0.78

Crawley Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Flower L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.74

Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leyton Orient 85 / 100

Crawley Town 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Leyton Orient Crawley Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leyton Orient Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leyton Orient's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Crawley Town has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Leyton Orient went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leyton Orient VS Crawley Town

2.25 Goals Scored 0.63

1 Goals Conceded 0.88

88% Over 1.5 50%

63% Over 2.5 13%

25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Leyton Orient

(Home)

01 Sept

Bromley

0 : 5

Leyton Orient

29 Aug

Leyton Orient

1 : 3

Barnsley

25 Aug

Walsall

0 : 1

Leyton Orient

22 Aug

Wigan

0 : 2

Leyton Orient

18 Aug

Leyton Orient

2 : 1

AFC Wimbledon

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Crawley Town

(Away)

01 Sept

Northampton

1 : 1

Crawley Town

29 Aug

Crawley Town

0 : 2

Bristol Rovers

22 Aug

Rochdale

1 : 2

Crawley Town

15 Aug

Crawley Town

0 : 1

Crewe

08 Aug

Watford

1 : 0

Crawley Town

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