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Stadium Background

Leyton Orient vs Harborough - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

FA Cup Brisbane Road, London
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the FA Cup. This one's hard to separate. Harborough have shipped 1.23 goals a game lately, while Leyton Orient have conceded 1.13 and scored 1.55. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 0.81 vs 1.00, favoring Harborough. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Leyton Orient
30%
Draws
37%
Harborough
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Harborough

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Harborough average 1.67 goals a game right now, well clear of Leyton Orient's 1.55.
  • Win probability leans Leyton Orient's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Leyton Orient Clean Sheet 20%
Harborough Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leyton Orient Harborough
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 5 12
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.55 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leyton Orient 49 / 100
Harborough 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leyton Orient Harborough

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leyton Orient Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Harborough has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Leyton Orient found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Recent resilience: Leyton Orient stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Harborough's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Leyton Orient VS Harborough
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Leyton Orient

(Home)
31 Oct
Leyton Orient
3 : 0
Cambridge Utd
24 Oct
Burton
2 : 1
Leyton Orient
21 Oct
Reading
1 : 0
Leyton Orient
17 Oct
Leyton Orient
2 : 0
Blackpool
10 Oct
Bradford City
0 : 0
Leyton Orient
Page 1 of 7

Harborough

(Away)
31 Oct
Hebburn Town
1 : 1
Harborough
27 Oct
Buxton
3 : 0
Harborough
24 Oct
Harborough
1 : 1
Worksop
17 Oct
Harborough
3 : 1
Spennymoor
10 Oct
Harborough
1 : 0
Southport
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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