Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Leyton Orient vs Stevenage

England England

League One Brisbane Road, London
Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Vancooten T.
32'
Freestone L.
59'
Thompson L.

AI Match Summary

The League One game between Leyton Orient and Stevenage finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leyton Orient.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Leyton Orient
20%
Draws
57%
Stevenage
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stevenage

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Leyton Orient carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Stevenage a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Leyton Orient Clean Sheet 17%
Stevenage Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leyton Orient Stevenage
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 16 13
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.7 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 League One
Leyton Orient vs Stevenage
1:0
Mar 10, 2026 League One
Stevenage vs Leyton Orient
1:2
Sep 27, 2025 League One
Leyton Orient vs Stevenage
2:3
Mar 27, 2025 League One
Leyton Orient vs Stevenage
1:0
Jan 21, 2025 EFL Trophy
Leyton Orient vs Stevenage
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leyton Orient Compare

Top Goalscorer Gilbert A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Stevenage Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leyton Orient 10 / 100
Stevenage 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leyton Orient Stevenage

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stevenage Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leyton Orient's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Stevenage let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Leyton Orient remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Leyton Orient VS Stevenage
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Leyton Orient

(Home)
19 Sept
Leyton Orient
1 : 0
Stevenage
15 Sept
Leyton Orient
1 : 2
Arsenal U21
12 Sept
Leyton Orient
2 : 3
Wycombe
08 Sept
Leyton Orient
1 : 3
Bradford City
05 Sept
Luton
1 : 1
Leyton Orient
Page 1 of 7

Stevenage

(Away)
22 Sept
Walsall
1 : 6
Stevenage
19 Sept
Leyton Orient
1 : 0
Stevenage
10 Sept
Stevenage
2 : 1
Luton
05 Sept
Barnsley
1 : 5
Stevenage
01 Sept
Peterborough
0 : 0
Stevenage
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bradford City 7 5 0 2 7:4 15
2 Sheffield Wed 7 4 2 1 13:6 14
3 Plymouth 7 4 1 2 14:10 13
4 Huddersfield 7 3 3 1 11:6 12
5 Cambridge Utd 7 3 3 1 12:10 12
6 Oxford Utd 6 3 2 1 13:7 11
7 AFC Wimbledon 7 3 2 2 5:7 11
8 Reading 6 3 1 2 14:7 10
9 Stockport County 7 3 1 3 16:10 10
10 Leyton Orient 7 3 1 3 13:9 10
11 Stevenage 7 2 3 2 11:8 9
12 Burton 7 2 3 2 12:12 9
13 Leicester 7 2 3 2 9:11 9
14 Wycombe 7 2 3 2 11:14 9
15 Blackpool 7 2 2 3 13:13 8
16 Luton 7 2 2 3 12:14 8
17 Mansfield 7 2 2 3 10:13 8
18 Barnsley 7 2 2 3 7:12 8
19 Bromley 7 2 2 3 8:18 8
20 Notts County 7 1 4 2 7:9 7
21 Doncaster 7 1 3 3 8:9 6
22 Milton Keynes Dons 7 0 6 1 8:10 6
23 Peterborough 7 1 2 4 4:12 5
24 Wigan 7 1 1 5 5:12 4
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)