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Liaoning Tieren vs Wuhan Three Towns - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

China China

Super League Olympic Sports Centre Stadium, Shenyang
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
11:35 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Liaoning Tieren host Wuhan Three Towns in the Super League. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Wuhan Three Towns have shipped 1.86 goals a game lately, while Liaoning Tieren have conceded 1.63 and scored 1.37. Past meetings favor Liaoning Tieren slightly — 1-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 2.00) point toward Liaoning Tieren. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Liaoning Tieren
35%
Draws
56%
Wuhan Three Towns
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Wuhan Three Towns

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Liaoning Tieren carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Wuhan Three Towns's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Liaoning Tieren Clean Sheet 10%
Wuhan Three Towns Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Liaoning Tieren Wuhan Three Towns
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 6
Draws 5 11
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.37 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Super League
Wuhan Three Towns vs Liaoning Tieren
2:2
Jun 5, 2021 League One
Wuhan Three Towns vs Liaoning Tieren
2:3
May 11, 2021 League One
Liaoning Tieren vs Wuhan Three Towns
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Liaoning Tieren 10 / 100
Wuhan Three Towns 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Liaoning Tieren Wuhan Three Towns

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wuhan Three Towns Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wuhan Three Towns's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.33 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Liaoning Tieren scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Liaoning Tieren has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Liaoning Tieren VS Wuhan Three Towns
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Liaoning Tieren

(Home)
12 Sept
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1 : 0
Liaoning Tieren
06 Sept
Yunnan Yukun
5 : 0
Liaoning Tieren
29 Aug
Chengdu Rongcheng
2 : 1
Liaoning Tieren
23 Aug
Liaoning Tieren
4 : 4
Henan Songshan Longmen
15 Aug
Liaoning Tieren
1 : 2
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Page 1 of 6

Wuhan Three Towns

(Away)
18 Sept
Zhejiang Professional
4 : 1
Wuhan Three Towns
12 Sept
Wuhan Three Towns
1 : 1
Henan Songshan Longmen
05 Sept
Wuhan Three Towns
2 : 2
Qingdao West Coast
29 Aug
Qingdao Hainiu
1 : 5
Wuhan Three Towns
22 Aug
Wuhan Three Towns
0 : 0
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chengdu Rongcheng 26 15 7 4 51:30 52
2 Dalian Yingbo 26 12 4 10 38:42 40
3 Beijing Guoan 26 11 10 5 49:33 38
4 Yunnan Yukun 26 11 5 10 54:51 38
5 Qingdao West Coast 26 8 14 4 31:32 38
6 Shandong Taishan 26 13 4 9 46:43 37
7 Shanghai Port 26 10 8 8 40:33 33
8 Shanghai Shenhua 26 12 5 9 52:46 31
9 Zhejiang Professional 26 10 6 10 45:43 31
10 Chongqing Tonglianglong 26 7 10 9 27:32 31
11 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 26 8 4 14 34:45 28
12 Henan Songshan Longmen 26 8 9 9 33:35 27
13 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 26 9 8 9 36:32 25
14 Liaoning Tieren 26 7 4 15 34:47 25
15 Wuhan Three Towns 26 5 11 10 39:46 21
16 Qingdao Hainiu 26 6 3 17 34:53 14
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - League One 2027 (Main)