Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Liberec vs Mlada Boleslav

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Chance Liga Stadion U Nisy, Liberec
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Kusej V.
34'
Sub
Masopust L. In: Stransky V.
Out: Masopust L.
39'
Stransky V.

AI Match Summary

The Chance Liga game between Liberec and Mlada Boleslav finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Liberec.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Liberec
15%
Draws
34%
Mlada Boleslav
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Liberec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mlada Boleslav come out ahead of Liberec on wins alone.
  • Liberec are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Liberec Clean Sheet 16%
Mlada Boleslav Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Liberec Mlada Boleslav
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 13 15
Draws 5 8
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.26 1.93
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Chance Liga
Liberec vs Mlada Boleslav
3:0
Apr 18, 2026 Chance Liga
Liberec vs Mlada Boleslav
0:0
Jul 20, 2025 Chance Liga
Mlada Boleslav vs Liberec
3:3
Feb 16, 2025 Chance Liga
Liberec vs Mlada Boleslav
3:1
Dec 5, 2024 Chance Liga
Mlada Boleslav vs Liberec
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Liberec Compare

Top Goalscorer Kusej V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Masek L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Mlada Boleslav Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Liberec 39 / 100
Mlada Boleslav 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Liberec Mlada Boleslav

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Liberec Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Liberec stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Liberec's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Mlada Boleslav has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Liberec VS Mlada Boleslav
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Liberec

(Home)
12 Sept
Liberec
3 : 0
Mlada Boleslav
06 Sept
Jablonec
1 : 2
Liberec
30 Aug
Liberec
2 : 0
Hradec Kralove
26 Aug
Prepere
0 : 2
Liberec
22 Aug
Zlin
0 : 1
Liberec
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Mlada Boleslav

(Away)
12 Sept
Liberec
3 : 0
Mlada Boleslav
06 Sept
Mlada Boleslav
4 : 0
Ostrava
26 Aug
Meteor Prague
0 : 4
Mlada Boleslav
22 Aug
Mlada Boleslav
2 : 1
Slovacko
15 Aug
FK Pardubice
1 : 1
Mlada Boleslav
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Liberec 8 6 1 1 13:4 19
2 Slavia Prague 7 5 2 0 21:5 17
3 Brno 8 5 1 2 12:10 16
4 Mlada Boleslav 7 4 2 1 15:9 14
5 Sigma Olomouc 7 4 1 2 13:8 13
6 Teplice 7 4 1 2 15:13 13
7 Jablonec 8 4 1 3 10:8 13
8 Sparta Prague 8 4 0 4 15:12 12
9 Hradec Kralove 7 3 2 2 6:6 11
10 Plzen 7 2 4 1 14:12 10
11 Bohemians 1905 7 2 3 2 8:9 9
12 Ostrava 7 3 0 4 4:13 9
13 Artis Brno 8 1 1 6 7:18 4
14 Slovacko 8 0 3 5 5:14 3
15 FK Pardubice 7 0 2 5 5:12 2
16 Zlin 7 0 0 7 6:16 0
Promotion - Chance Liga (Championship Group)
Promotion - Chance Liga (7th-10th places)
Relegation - Chance Liga (Relegation Group)