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Liberia U20 vs Gambia U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

Africa Africa

CAF African Championship U20 2015
Liberia U20 Logo

Liberia U20

0 - 1
FT
Gambia U20 Logo

Gambia U20

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Gambia U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Liberia U20
15%
Draws
49%
Gambia U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gambia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gambia U20 come out ahead of Liberia U20 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Liberia U20's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Gambia U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Gambia U20, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Gambia U20 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Liberia U20 Clean Sheet 12%
Gambia U20 Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Liberia U20 Gambia U20
Matches Played 17 35
Wins 2 19
Draws 4 7
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1 1.29
Goals Conceded 2 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 0.82 1.73
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2024 Friendly International
Liberia U20 vs Gambia U20
0:1
Sep 1, 2022 Friendly International
Gambia U20 vs Liberia U20
4:1
Apr 26, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Gambia U20 vs Liberia U20
0:0
Apr 6, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Liberia U20 vs Gambia U20
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Liberia U20 35 / 100
Gambia U20 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Liberia U20 Gambia U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

Difficult form: Gambia U20 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Liberia U20 scored in 59% of their last 17 games.

Gambia U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 51% of 35 matches.

Scoring Trends

Liberia U20 VS Gambia U20
1.14 Goals Scored 1.75
1.71 Goals Conceded 0.5
57% Over 1.5 63%
43% Over 2.5 38%
29% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Liberia U20

(Home)
23 Mar
Ivory Coast U20
6 : 1
Liberia U20
20 Mar
Ivory Coast U20
2 : 1
Liberia U20
11 Sept
Liberia U20
0 : 1
Gambia U20
25 Feb
Sierra Leone U20
1 : 5
Liberia U20
23 Feb
Liberia U20
0 : 1
Sierra Leone U20
Page 1 of 4

Gambia U20

(Away)
11 Sept
Liberia U20
0 : 1
Gambia U20
15 Mar
Congo U20
2 : 1
Gambia U20
12 Mar
Ghana U20
3 : 1
Gambia U20
08 Mar
Gambia U20
0 : 0
Benin U20
01 Jun
Gambia U20
0 : 1
Uruguay U20
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Malawi U20 3
Botswana U20 2
TBD -
D.R. Congo U20 -
Mozambique U20 4
Namibia U20 2
TBD -
Zambia U20 -
Nigeria U20 -
TBD -
Kenya U20 0
Tanzania U20 1
Angola U20 -
TBD -
Eswatini U20 2
Lesotho U20 4
Cameroon U20 -
TBD -
Djibouti U20 1
Burundi U20 2
Ethiopia U20 5
Seychelles U20 0
TBD -
South Africa U20 -
Ghana U20 -
TBD -
Guinea U20 0
Sierra Leone U20 2
Rwanda U20 -
South Sudan U20 -
TBD -
Gabon U20 -
Congo U20 3
Niger U20 2
TBD -
Benin U20 -
Sudan U20 5
Somalia U20 0
TBD -
Egypt U20 -
Libya U20 4
Chad U20 0
Mauritania U20 1
Tunisia U20 6
Liberia U20 0
Gambia U20 1
Guinea-Bissau U20 -
Ivory Coast U20 -
Mali U20 -
TBD -
TBD -
Burkina Faso U20 -
Morocco U20 -
TBD -
Equatorial Guinea U20 -
Togo U20 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
Malawi U20 3
D.R. Congo U20 1
Mozambique U20 0
Zambia U20 4
Nigeria U20 6
Tanzania U20 1
Angola U20 1
Lesotho U20 4
Cameroon U20 2
Burundi U20 1
Ethiopia U20 0
South Africa U20 3
Ghana U20 4
Sierra Leone U20 1
Rwanda U20 0
Gabon U20 1
Congo U20 4
Benin U20 3
Sudan U20 0
Egypt U20 5
Libya U20 4
Tunisia U20 2
Liberia U20 1
Ivory Coast U20 2
Mali U20 3
Burkina Faso U20 2
Morocco U20 4
Togo U20 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Malawi U20 1
Zambia U20 3
Nigeria U20 6
Lesotho U20 0
Cameroon U20 2
South Africa U20 3
Ghana U20 4
Gabon U20 1
Congo U20 3
Egypt U20 2
Libya U20 3
Ivory Coast U20 4
Mali U20 2
Togo U20 1
TBD -
TBD -