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Liberia vs Libya

World World

Friendly International Stade Larbi Zaouli, Casablanca
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Al Musrati M.
Assist: Muhannad Etoo
45' Event
El Mariamy E.
Assist: Tajouri I.
51'
Saleh A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Friendly International matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Liberia
35%
Draws
39%
Libya
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Libya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Libya have won more games recently than Liberia.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Liberia Clean Sheet 68%
Libya Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Liberia Libya
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 7 13
Draws 8 11
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.04 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.46 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2026 Friendly International
Liberia vs Libya
2:2
Oct 14, 2023 Friendly International
Liberia vs Libya
2:3
Jun 14, 2021 Friendly International
Liberia vs Libya
1:0
May 27, 2008 Friendly International
Libya vs Liberia
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Liberia Compare

Top Goalscorer Dorley O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Balde P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Libya Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Musrati M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader El Mariamy E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Liberia 41 / 100
Libya 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Liberia Libya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Liberia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Liberia's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Libya's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Liberia has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Liberia VS Libya
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Liberia

(Home)
09 Jun
Liberia
3 : 1
Sierra Leone
06 Jun
Sierra Leone
1 : 0
Liberia
31 Mar
Liberia
2 : 2
Libya
27 Mar
Benin
1 : 0
Liberia
15 Nov
Guinea
2 : 0
Liberia
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Libya

(Away)
31 Mar
Liberia
2 : 2
Libya
27 Mar
Libya
0 : 0
Niger
25 Nov
Palestine
1 : 0
Libya
15 Nov
Libya
1 : 0
Mauritania
13 Oct
Mauritius
0 : 0
Libya
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