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Liberia vs Puntarenas FC

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division 2025/2026 Estadio Edgardo Baltodano Briceno, Liberia
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Match Events

18'
Francis W.
21'
Taylor R.
52' Event
Gomez K.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division 2025/2026 game between Liberia and Puntarenas FC finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Puntarenas FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Liberia
6%
Draws
4%
Puntarenas FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Liberia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Puntarenas FC haven't matched Liberia's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Liberia's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Primera Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Liberia Clean Sheet 68%
Puntarenas FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Liberia Puntarenas FC
Matches Played 35 31
Wins 14 7
Draws 10 10
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Primera Division
Puntarenas FC vs Liberia
0:1
Feb 7, 2026 Primera Division
Liberia vs Puntarenas FC
1:4
Oct 15, 2025 Primera Division
Liberia vs Puntarenas FC
0:0
Aug 23, 2025 Primera Division
Puntarenas FC vs Liberia
0:3
Apr 6, 2025 Primera Division
Liberia vs Puntarenas FC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Liberia Compare

Top Goalscorer Lesme F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Puntarenas FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Alvarez P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Liberia 95 / 100
Puntarenas FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Liberia Puntarenas FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Liberia found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (35 games).

Puntarenas FC has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Liberia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Liberia VS Puntarenas FC
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Liberia

(Home)
10 May
Saprissa
2 : 0
Liberia
03 May
Liberia
1 : 1
Saprissa
26 Apr
Liberia
2 : 1
Alajuelense
22 Apr
Sporting FC
0 : 1
Liberia
18 Apr
Liberia
1 : 0
Cartagines
Page 1 of 7

Puntarenas FC

(Away)
26 Apr
Puntarenas FC
1 : 3
Saprissa
24 Apr
Alajuelense
5 : 2
Puntarenas FC
19 Apr
Puntarenas FC
1 : 2
Sporting FC
12 Apr
Zeledon
3 : 3
Puntarenas FC
05 Apr
Puntarenas FC
0 : 1
Herediano
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Herediano18122426:1038
2Saprissa18104434:1934
3Liberia18103524:1833
4Cartagines18102626:2032
5Alajuelense1875628:2026
6Sporting FC1864816:2122
7San Carlos1863921:2521
8Puntarenas FC18441022:2916
9Zeledon1828819:3014
10Guadalupe18351013:3714
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)