Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 Samuel Kanyon Doe Sports Complex

Liberia

2 - 1

Sao Tome and Principe

Our Tip

Match Events

Andrews N.

Assist: Laomie N.

32'

Farkarlun B.

Assist: Laomie N.

44'

do Sacramento Pereira da Costa L.

Assist: Lumungo R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Liberia in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Liberia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Liberia

Draws

Sao Tome and Principe

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Liberia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Liberia have won more games recently than Sao Tome and Principe.
Win probability leans Liberia's way, sitting at 90%.
Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%

Liberia Clean Sheet 68%

Sao Tome and Principe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Liberia	Sao Tome and Principe
Matches Played	26	29
Wins	8	3
Draws	8	4
Losses	10	22
Goals Scored	1	0.57
Goals Conceded	1.25	2.57
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	0.57
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	2.57

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2025 World Championship

Liberia vs Sao Tome and Principe

Possession: 57% - 59% Cards: 1 - 0

2:1

Jun 9, 2024 World Championship

Sao Tome and Principe vs Liberia

Possession: 44% - 44% Cards: 2 - 4

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Liberia Compare

Top Goalscorer Andrews N.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Farkarlun B.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Sao Tome and Principe Compare

Top Goalscorer do Sacramento Pereira da Costa L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.52

Avg xA / game 0.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Liberia 95 / 100

Sao Tome and Principe 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Liberia Sao Tome and Principe

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIB Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 2:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Tome and Principe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Liberia scored in 65% of their last 26 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Sao Tome and Principe has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Liberia VS Sao Tome and Principe

1 Goals Scored 0.57

1.25 Goals Conceded 2.57

75% Over 1.5 71%

50% Over 2.5 71%

25% Over 3.5 29%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Egypt	10	8	2	0	20:2	26
2	Burkina Faso	10	6	3	1	23:8	21
3	Sierra Leone	10	4	3	3	12:10	15
4	Guinea Bissau	10	2	4	4	8:10	10
5	Ethiopia	10	2	3	5	9:14	9
6	Djibouti	10	0	1	9	5:33	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Senegal	10	7	3	0	22:3	24
2	D.R. Congo	10	7	1	2	15:6	22
3	Sudan	10	3	4	3	8:6	13
4	Togo	10	1	5	4	5:10	8
5	Mauritania	10	1	4	5	4:13	7
6	South Sudan	10	0	5	5	3:19	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	South Africa	10	5	3	2	15:9	18
2	Nigeria	10	4	5	1	15:8	17
3	Benin	10	5	2	3	12:11	17
4	Lesotho	10	3	3	4	9:12	12
5	Rwanda	10	3	2	5	5:9	11
6	Zimbabwe	10	0	5	5	5:12	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cape Verde	10	7	2	1	16:8	23
2	Cameroon	10	5	4	1	17:5	19
3	Libya	10	4	4	2	12:10	16
4	Angola	10	2	6	2	9:8	12
5	Mauritius	10	1	3	6	7:17	6
6	Eswatini	10	0	3	7	6:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Morocco	8	8	0	0	22:2	24
2	Niger	8	5	0	3	11:10	15
3	Tanzania	8	3	1	4	6:7	10
4	Zambia	8	3	0	5	10:10	9
5	Congo	8	0	1	7	4:24	1
6	Eritrea	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ivory Coast	10	8	2	0	25:0	26
2	Gabon	10	8	1	1	22:9	25
3	Gambia	10	4	1	5	27:18	13
4	Kenya	10	3	3	4	18:14	12
5	Burundi	10	3	1	6	13:13	10
6	Seychelles	10	0	0	10	2:53	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Algeria	10	8	1	1	24:8	25
2	Uganda	10	6	0	4	14:9	18
3	Mozambique	10	6	0	4	14:17	18
4	Guinea	10	4	3	3	11:8	15
5	Botswana	10	3	1	6	12:16	10
6	Somalia	10	0	1	9	3:20	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tunisia	10	9	1	0	22:0	28
2	Namibia	10	4	3	3	13:10	15
3	Liberia	10	4	3	3	13:11	15
4	Malawi	10	4	1	5	11:10	13
5	Equatorial Guinea	10	3	2	5	8:15	11
6	Sao Tome and Principe	10	1	0	9	5:26	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ghana	10	8	1	1	23:6	25
2	Madagascar	10	6	1	3	17:12	19
3	Mali	10	5	3	2	17:6	18
4	Comoros	10	5	0	5	12:13	15
5	Central Africa	10	2	2	6	11:24	8
6	Chad	10	0	1	9	5:24	1