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Liberia W vs Cape Verde W Prediction & H2H Stats

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Women 2024
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with Cape Verde W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Liberia W
35%
Draws
13%
Cape Verde W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Liberia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Cape Verde W have managed 1.24 goals a game lately — Liberia W are scoring more at 1.42.
  • Model gives Liberia W a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Cape Verde W, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Liberia W Clean Sheet 20%
Cape Verde W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Liberia W Cape Verde W
Matches Played 12 17
Wins 4 4
Draws 3 3
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.42 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.12
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Liberia W vs Cape Verde W
2:3
Sep 22, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Cape Verde W vs Liberia W
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Liberia W 85 / 100
Cape Verde W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Liberia W Cape Verde W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Liberia W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cape Verde W has conceded goals in 88% of their last 17 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Liberia W scored in 75% of their last 12 games.

Recent resilience: Liberia W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Liberia W VS Cape Verde W
1.57 Goals Scored 1.38
0.86 Goals Conceded 1.88
71% Over 1.5 75%
29% Over 2.5 75%
29% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Liberia W

(Home)
31 May
Mali W
0 : 1
Liberia W
29 May
Senegal W
1 : 0
Liberia W
26 May
Mali W
1 : 1
Liberia W
24 May
Mauritania W
1 : 1
Liberia W
22 May
Guinea Bissau W
1 : 3
Liberia W
Page 1 of 3

Cape Verde W

(Away)
06 Aug
Cape Verde W
1 : 1
Cameroon W
02 Aug
Mali W
3 : 2
Cape Verde W
29 Jul
Ghana W
2 : 0
Cape Verde W
21 Jul
Morocco W
5 : 0
Cape Verde W
08 Jun
Ivory Coast W
0 : 0
Cape Verde W
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Senegal W 3
Mozambique W 2
Egypt W 8
South Sudan W 0
Central Africa W 1
Mali W 10
Guinea W 11
Mauritius W 0
Nigeria W -
Sao Tome and Principe W -
Cape Verde W 6
Liberia W 2
Uganda W 2
Algeria W 3
Burundi W 3
Ethiopia W 2
Equatorial Guinea W -
Libya W -
D.R. Congo W 4
Benin W 2
Ivory Coast W 2
Tanzania W 3
Djibouti W 0
Togo W 13
Rwanda W 0
Ghana W 12
Gambia W 2
Namibia W 5
Cameroon W 1
Kenya W 2
Gabon W 1
Botswana W 10
Tunisia W 12
Niger W 1
Guinea Bissau W 0
Congo W 3
Angola W -
Sudan W -
TBD -
Zambia W -
Eswatini W 2
Burkina Faso W 6
TBD -
South Africa W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Senegal W 4
Egypt W 0
Mali W 10
Guinea W 2
Nigeria W 7
Cape Verde W 1
Algeria W 6
Burundi W 1
Equatorial Guinea W 2
D.R. Congo W 3
Tanzania W 3
Togo W 2
Ghana W 3
Namibia W 2
Kenya W 1
Botswana W 2
Tunisia W 6
Congo W 3
Angola W 0
Zambia W 12
Burkina Faso W 1
South Africa W 3
TBD -
TBD -