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Libermorro vs Nacional-AM (Manaus)

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Amazonense 2006
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Libermorro play Nacional-AM (Manaus) in the Campeonato Amazonense 2006. Nacional-AM (Manaus) are favorites here. Recently, Libermorro averaged 1.17 goals scored and 3.27 conceded. Nacional-AM (Manaus) averaged 1.84 goals scored and 0.86 conceded. In past meetings, Libermorro won 1, Nacional-AM (Manaus) won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 10, 2008 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Libermorro and 1.00 for Nacional-AM (Manaus). This points to a Nacional-AM (Manaus) double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Libermorro
25%
Draws
60%
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Nacional-AM (Manaus)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Libermorro picked up more points recently compared to Nacional-AM (Manaus).
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Libermorro Clean Sheet 23%
Nacional-AM (Manaus) Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Libermorro Nacional-AM (Manaus)
Matches Played 30 43
Wins 4 25
Draws 3 10
Losses 23 8
Goals Scored 1.17 1.84
Goals Conceded 3.27 0.86

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2008 Amazonense
Libermorro vs Nacional-AM (Manaus)
0:1
Apr 21, 2007 Amazonense
Libermorro vs Nacional-AM (Manaus)
3:2
Mar 24, 2007 Amazonense
Nacional-AM (Manaus) vs Libermorro
2:0
Mar 5, 2006 Amazonense
Libermorro vs Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1:5
Feb 8, 2006 Amazonense
Nacional-AM (Manaus) vs Libermorro
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Libermorro 18 / 100
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Libermorro Nacional-AM (Manaus)

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nacional-AM (Manaus) Win (2)
Secondary Pick Nacional-AM (Manaus) & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Libermorro attacking → ← attacking Nacional-AM (Manaus)

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Libermorro scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Nacional-AM (Manaus) let in goals in 67% of their last 43 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Libermorro went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Nacional-AM (Manaus) lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

15 Points in last 5 85
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.50
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)42209:28
2Sao Raimundo AM42208:28
3Princesa do Solimoes41215:45
4Gremio Coariense41124:74
5America AM40134:151
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sul America431011:410
2Fast Clube42118:47
3Nacional-AM (Manaus)420210:76
4Libermorro41034:93
5Cliper41033:123