Sport Picks

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Libertad Asuncion vs Rubio Nu

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera Estadio Tigo La Huerta
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Libertad Asuncion play Rubio Nu in the Copa de Primera. It looks like a close match. Recently, Libertad Asuncion averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. Rubio Nu averaged 0.63 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, Libertad Asuncion won 1, Rubio Nu won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 21, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Libertad Asuncion and 1.19 for Rubio Nu. This points to a Rubio Nu double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Libertad Asuncion
33%
Draws
40%
Rubio Nu
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Rubio Nu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Rubio Nu has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Libertad Asuncion.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Rubio Nu.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Copa de Primera provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Libertad Asuncion Clean Sheet 20%
Rubio Nu Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Libertad Asuncion Rubio Nu
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 4 6
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.5 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2026 Copa de Primera
Rubio Nu vs Libertad Asuncion
3:0
Feb 20, 2026 Copa de Primera
Libertad Asuncion vs Rubio Nu
0:1
Nov 9, 2017 Copa de Primera
Rubio Nu vs Libertad Asuncion
2:4
Jul 22, 2017 Copa de Primera
Libertad Asuncion vs Rubio Nu
0:0
May 8, 2017 Copa de Primera
Libertad Asuncion vs Rubio Nu
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Libertad Asuncion Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Rubio Nu Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Libertad Asuncion 28 / 100
Rubio Nu 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Libertad Asuncion Rubio Nu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RUB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Libertad Asuncion scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Rubio Nu let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Libertad Asuncion went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Rubio Nu lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Libertad Asuncion VS Rubio Nu
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpia Asuncion22154337:1749
2Nacional Asuncion22109331:2239
3Cerro Porteno22115630:2238
4Sportivo Ameliano2289527:2133
5Sportivo Trinidense2288630:2432
6Libertad Asuncion2294934:2631
7Guarani2278727:2329
8Recoleta22841035:3228
9Rubio Nu22651115:2623
102 de Mayo22571018:3522
11Sp. Luqueno22551224:3320
12San Lorenzo22361314:4115