Sport Picks
Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Paraguay
Copa de Primera Estadio Tigo La Huerta, Asunción 
Match Events
17'
17'
Ramirez I.
Assist: Benitez A.
28'
28'
Da Silveira A.
40'
40'
De la Cruz L.
Assist: Viera G.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Sportivo Trinidense average 1.66 goals a game right now, well clear of Libertad Asuncion's 1.46.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Libertad Asuncion, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Libertad Asuncion Clean Sheet 17%
Sportivo Trinidense Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Libertad Asuncion | Sportivo Trinidense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 13 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.46 | 1.66 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.36 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 10, 2026 Copa de Primera
Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense
2:1
Apr 12, 2026 Copa de Primera
Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense
1:1
Feb 15, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Trinidense vs Libertad Asuncion
1:0
Oct 5, 2025 Copa de Primera
Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense
0:0
Jul 26, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Trinidense vs Libertad Asuncion
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Libertad Asuncion Compare
Top Goalscorer Ramirez I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Benitez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Sportivo Trinidense Compare
Top Goalscorer De la Cruz L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Libertad Asuncion 31 / 100
Sportivo Trinidense 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Libertad Asuncion Sportivo Trinidense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sportivo Trinidense has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Libertad Asuncion found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).
Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.
Solid form: Libertad Asuncion remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Libertad Asuncion VS Sportivo Trinidense
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Libertad Asuncion
(Home) 05 Oct
Recoleta
1 : 2 Libertad Asuncion
28 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
0 : 1 Olimpia Asuncion
23 Sept
Fernando de la Mora
1 : 2 Libertad Asuncion
19 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
11 Sept
2 de Mayo
0 : 2 Libertad Asuncion
Page 1 of 6
28 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
0 : 1 Olimpia Asuncion
19 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
06 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
4 : 2 Rubio Nu
24 Aug
Libertad Asuncion
1 : 0 San Lorenzo
10 Aug
Libertad Asuncion
2 : 1 Sportivo Trinidense
Page 1 of 3
Sportivo Trinidense
(Away) 10 Oct
San Lorenzo
1 : 1 Sportivo Trinidense
05 Oct
Sportivo Trinidense
3 : 2 Sp. Luqueno
26 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
2 : 1 Cerro Porteno
18 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
0 : 1 Guarani
12 Sept
Recoleta
1 : 3 Sportivo Trinidense
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
San Lorenzo
1 : 1 Sportivo Trinidense
12 Sept
Recoleta
1 : 3 Sportivo Trinidense
02 Sept
Sportivo Ameliano
0 : 3 Sportivo Trinidense
25 Aug
Sol de America
2 : 1 Sportivo Trinidense
21 Aug
Rubio Nu
0 : 0 Sportivo Trinidense
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 22:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Libertad Asuncion | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 26 |
| 3 | 2 de Mayo | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 16:13 | 25 |
| 4 | Sportivo Trinidense | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 24:14 | 24 |
| 5 | Nacional Asuncion | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 20:8 | 23 |
| 6 | Guarani | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14:10 | 21 |
| 7 | Cerro Porteno | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 18:14 | 20 |
| 8 | Sportivo Ameliano | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 15:15 | 18 |
| 9 | Sp. Luqueno | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 14:27 | 13 |
| 10 | Rubio Nu | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15:24 | 12 |
| 11 | Recoleta | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 14:26 | 8 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 14 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 5:23 | 4 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
