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Libertad San Carlos vs Montevideo City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Copa Uruguay Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel, Maldonado
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Da Silva N.
45' Event
Lecchini R.

AI Match Summary

Montevideo City in this Copa Uruguay tie, finishing 0-6. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Libertad San Carlos
15%
Draws
60%
Montevideo City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Montevideo City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Montevideo City lately — more wins on the board than Libertad San Carlos.
  • Model gives Montevideo City a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Montevideo City arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Libertad San Carlos Clean Sheet 11%
Montevideo City Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Libertad San Carlos Montevideo City
Matches Played 3 28
Wins 1 17
Draws 0 2
Losses 2 9
Goals Scored 0.33 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Libertad San Carlos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Montevideo City Compare

Top Goalscorer Da Silva N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lecchini R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Libertad San Carlos 10 / 100
Montevideo City 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Libertad San Carlos Montevideo City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montevideo City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Montevideo City conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Libertad San Carlos's goal record stands at 33% scoring rate across 3 recent games.

Libertad San Carlos went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Montevideo City registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Libertad San Carlos VS Montevideo City
0 Goals Scored 2.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Libertad San Carlos

(Home)
06 Aug
Libertad San Carlos
0 : 3
Defensor Sp.
18 Oct
Libertad San Carlos
0 : 2
Uruguay Montevideo FC
19 Sept
Cooper
0 : 1
Libertad San Carlos

Montevideo City

(Away)
01 Nov
Boston River
1 : 2
Montevideo City
27 Oct
Penarol
0 : 2
Montevideo City
25 Oct
Montevideo City
3 : 1
CA Cerro
21 Oct
Montevideo City
2 : 0
Atletico-MG
18 Oct
Albion
2 : 1
Montevideo City
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
San Carlos -
TBD -
Boston River 1
River Plate Montevideo 0
Libertad San Carlos -
TBD -
Penarol 0
Montevideo City 2
Porongos -
TBD -
Maldonado 4
Albion 1
Ferro Carril -
TBD -
Club Nacional 3
Rentistas 0
Wanderers Durazno -
TBD -
Central Esp. 0
Danubio 6
Lito -
TBD -
Cerrito 2
Wanderers 3
Gladiador -
TBD -
Liverpool M. 1
Cerro Largo 0
Nacional Florida -
TBD -
Plaza Colonia 0
Juventud 1
1/8-finals
San Carlos 0
Boston River 2
Libertad San Carlos 0
Montevideo City 2
Porongos 0
Maldonado 4
Ferro Carril 1
Club Nacional 2
Wanderers Durazno 0
Danubio 3
Lito 4
Wanderers 0
Gladiador 0
Liverpool M. 2
Nacional Florida 0
Juventud 2
Quarter-finals
Boston River -
TBD -
Maldonado -
Club Nacional -
Danubio -
Lito -
Liverpool M. -
Juventud -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -