Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Libertad host Emelec in the Liga Pro. Little to choose between these two on current form. Emelec have shipped 1.28 goals a game lately, while Libertad have conceded 1.28 and scored 1.1. Head-to-head, Libertad have won 1 to Emelec's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.44 - 0.69) back Libertad to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Emelec haven't matched Libertad's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Libertad's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Libertad | Emelec |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Libertad has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Libertad found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).
Defensive concern: Emelec conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Libertad
(Home)Emelec
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 26 | 22 | 1 | 3 | 64:26 | 67 |
| 2 | Aucas | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 30:26 | 44 |
| 3 | U. Catolica | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 45:23 | 43 |
| 4 | Macara | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 33:26 | 42 |
| 5 | LDU Quito | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 26:20 | 41 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 28:20 | 39 |
| 7 | Libertad | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 29:29 | 37 |
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 28:28 | 35 |
| 9 | Mushuc Runa | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 32:34 | 33 |
| 10 | Guayaquil City | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 25:29 | 33 |
| 11 | Dep. Cuenca | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 22:32 | 32 |
| 12 | Emelec | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 21:31 | 32 |
| 13 | Orense | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 30:39 | 30 |
| 14 | Tecnico U. | 26 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 23:37 | 26 |
| 15 | Delfin | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 17:28 | 24 |
| 16 | Manta | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 12:37 | 17 |
