Sport Picks
Libertad vs Leones del Norte
Ecuador
Liga Pro Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne, Loja 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Liga Pro game between Libertad and Leones del Norte finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leones del Norte.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Leones del Norte carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Leones del Norte's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Libertad | Leones del Norte |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 7 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 13 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Libertad Compare
Leones del Norte Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Libertad scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Leones del Norte's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Libertad went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Libertad
(Home)Leones del Norte
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 21 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 52:20 | 52 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 33:19 | 35 |
| 3 | Aucas | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 23:21 | 35 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 23:16 | 34 |
| 5 | Macara | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 24:21 | 32 |
| 6 | LDU Quito | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 20:17 | 29 |
| 7 | Leones del Norte | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 22:21 | 28 |
| 8 | Emelec | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 18:24 | 28 |
| 9 | Dep. Cuenca | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 19:26 | 28 |
| 10 | Guayaquil City | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 19:23 | 27 |
| 11 | Orense | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 25:29 | 26 |
| 12 | Mushuc Runa | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 27:31 | 25 |
| 13 | Libertad | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 19:26 | 24 |
| 14 | Tecnico U. | 21 | 7 | 2 | 12 | 19:24 | 23 |
| 15 | Delfin | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 13:20 | 23 |
| 16 | Manta | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 8:26 | 14 |