Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Liberte vs AS Garde Nationale - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Niger Niger

Super Ligue
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
03:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Liberte host AS Garde Nationale in the Super Ligue. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Recent numbers: Liberte at 0.84 goals for, 1.39 against; AS Garde Nationale at 1.19 for, 0.52 against. Past meetings favor Liberte slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 15, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 0.63 vs 1.19, favoring AS Garde Nationale. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Liberte
30%
Draws
47%
AS Garde Nationale
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AS Garde Nationale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Liberte haven't matched AS Garde Nationale's recent run of results.
  • AS Garde Nationale are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Liberte Clean Sheet 20%
AS Garde Nationale Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Liberte AS Garde Nationale
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 6 16
Draws 13 12
Losses 12 3
Goals Scored 0.84 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.39 0.52
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 Super Ligue
AS Garde Nationale vs Liberte
1:0
Jan 3, 2026 Super Ligue
Liberte vs AS Garde Nationale
2:2
Jun 22, 2025 Super Ligue
Liberte vs AS Garde Nationale
1:0
Dec 3, 2024 Super Ligue
AS Garde Nationale vs Liberte
1:2
Jun 15, 2024 Super Ligue
AS Garde Nationale vs Liberte
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Liberte 16 / 100
AS Garde Nationale 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Liberte AS Garde Nationale

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AS Garde Nationale Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Liberte went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Liberte's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

AS Garde Nationale's defensive record shows goals conceded in 42% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Liberte VS AS Garde Nationale
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Liberte

(Home)
04 Oct
Niima
1 : 0
Liberte
27 Sept
ASFAN
1 : 1
Liberte
18 Sept
Liberte
:
Espoir
12 Sept
Urana
0 : 0
Liberte
04 Sept
Liberte
0 : 2
Sahel
Page 1 of 7

AS Garde Nationale

(Away)
04 Oct
AS ZAM
0 : 2
AS Garde Nationale
22 Sept
AS Garde Nationale
3 : 1
Niima
19 Sept
Douanes Niamey
1 : 0
AS Garde Nationale
11 Sept
AS Garde Nationale
2 : 0
Tagour
06 Sept
JS Tahoua
0 : 0
AS Garde Nationale
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 US Gendarmerie 5 5 0 0 10:1 15
2 Sahel 5 3 2 0 8:3 11
3 AS Garde Nationale 5 3 1 1 7:2 10
4 ASFAN 5 2 3 0 7:4 9
5 Urana 5 2 2 1 5:7 8
6 Wombeye 5 1 3 1 4:3 6
7 Niima 5 1 3 1 4:5 6
8 AS UAM 6 1 3 2 3:5 6
9 Police 4 1 2 1 3:2 5
10 Douanes Niamey 5 1 2 2 2:4 5
11 Liberte 5 1 2 2 1:4 5
12 Espoir 5 1 1 3 2:5 4
13 Tagour 5 1 1 3 3:7 4
14 Nigelec 5 0 3 2 0:2 3
15 JS Tahoua 4 0 2 2 2:4 2
16 AS ZAM 4 0 2 2 1:4 2
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)