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Liberte vs ASFAN

Niger Niger

Super Ligue 2025/2026
Liberte Logo

Liberte

1 - 3
FT
ASFAN Logo

ASFAN

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

ASFAN in this Super Ligue 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored ASFAN.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Liberte
35%
Draws
46%
ASFAN
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: ASFAN

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to ASFAN lately — more wins on the board than Liberte.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Liberte Clean Sheet 19%
ASFAN Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Liberte ASFAN
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 16
Draws 13 7
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 0.9 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.53 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Super Ligue
Liberte vs ASFAN
1:3
Dec 13, 2025 Super Ligue
ASFAN vs Liberte
2:0
Apr 20, 2025 Super Ligue
ASFAN vs Liberte
4:1
Feb 5, 2025 Super Ligue
Liberte vs ASFAN
2:1
Mar 6, 2024 Super Ligue
Liberte vs ASFAN
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Liberte 36 / 100
ASFAN 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Liberte ASFAN

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASFAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

ASFAN has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Liberte remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Liberte found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Liberte VS ASFAN
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Liberte

(Home)
18 Sept
Liberte
2 : 2
Espoir
12 Sept
Urana
0 : 0
Liberte
04 Sept
Liberte
0 : 2
Sahel
18 Jun
Olympic Niamey
1 : 1
Liberte
09 Jun
Liberte
2 : 2
Renaissance
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ASFAN

(Away)
19 Sept
Tagour
1 : 2
ASFAN
12 Sept
ASFAN
2 : 0
Douanes Niamey
06 Sept
Niima
1 : 1
ASFAN
18 Jun
Douanes Niamey
1 : 0
ASFAN
09 Jun
AS ZAM
0 : 2
ASFAN
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nigelec 30 20 6 4 48:24 66
2 US Gendarmerie 30 17 9 4 48:17 60
3 ASFAN 30 16 7 7 38:24 55
4 AS Garde Nationale 30 14 11 5 38:21 53
5 Police 30 14 9 7 39:21 51
6 Douanes Niamey 30 12 11 7 33:21 47
7 Espoir 30 9 10 11 31:35 37
8 AS ZAM 30 10 7 13 39:46 37
9 Sahel 30 10 5 15 21:23 35
10 JS Tahoua 30 10 5 15 36:51 35
11 Tagour 30 7 12 11 32:40 33
12 Urana 30 8 9 13 28:36 33
13 Liberte 30 7 11 12 28:46 32
14 AS UAM 30 8 8 14 25:34 32
15 Olympic Niamey 30 5 10 15 24:44 25
16 Renaissance 30 4 8 18 23:48 20
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)