Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Libya U23 vs Nigeria U23

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U23 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Libya U23 in this Africa Cup of Nations U23 2019 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Libya U23
30%
Draws
35%
Nigeria U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Nigeria U23 have won more games recently than Libya U23.
  • Win probability leans Nigeria U23's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Nigeria U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Libya U23, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Libya U23 Clean Sheet 14%
Nigeria U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Libya U23 Nigeria U23
Matches Played 5 23
Wins 2 9
Draws 0 7
Losses 3 7
Goals Scored 1.2 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2019 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Nigeria U23 vs Libya U23
4:0
Mar 20, 2019 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Libya U23 vs Nigeria U23
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Libya U23 27 / 100
Nigeria U23 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Libya U23 Nigeria U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nigeria U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Libya U23 found the back of the net in 40% of recent matches (5 games).

Defensive concern: Nigeria U23 conceded in 59% of 22 recent games.

Recent resilience: Libya U23 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Libya U23 VS Nigeria U23
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Libya U23

(Home)
27 Sept
Rwanda U23
3 : 0
Libya U23
23 Sept
Libya U23
4 : 1
Rwanda U23
25 Mar
Nigeria U23
4 : 0
Libya U23
20 Mar
Libya U23
2 : 0
Nigeria U23
08 Jul
Metz
1 : 0
Libya U23

Nigeria U23

(Away)
28 Mar
Guinea U23
2 : 0
Nigeria U23
22 Mar
Nigeria U23
0 : 0
Guinea U23
29 Oct
Nigeria U23
2 : 0
Tanzania U23
22 Oct
Tanzania U23
1 : 1
Nigeria U23
15 Nov
Nigeria U23
0 : 0
South Africa U23
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Angola U23 1
South Africa U23 6
Mozambique U23 0
Zimbabwe U23 2
Malawi U23 0
Zambia U23 2
Burundi U23 1
Congo U23 2
Ghana U23 4
Gabon U23 0
Equatorial Guinea U23 1
Algeria U23 3
Cameroon U23 -
Sierra Leone U23 -
South Sudan U23 0
Tunisia U23 1
Niger U23 2
Ivory Coast U23 8
Guinea U23 2
Senegal U23 1
Sudan U23 2
Kenya U23 0
Libya U23 2
Nigeria U23 4
D.R. Congo U23 0
Morocco U23 6
Ethiopia U23 1
Mali U23 5
Final
South Africa U23 5
Zimbabwe U23 0
Zambia U23 5
Congo U23 4
Ghana U23 2
Algeria U23 1
Cameroon U23 2
Tunisia U23 2
Ivory Coast U23 2
Guinea U23 2
Sudan U23 1
Nigeria U23 5
Morocco U23 1
Mali U23 2