Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Libya U23 vs Rwanda U23

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U23
Libya U23 Logo

Libya U23

4 - 1
FT
Rwanda U23 Logo

Rwanda U23

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 4-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Libya U23
15%
Draws
39%
Rwanda U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Libya U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Rwanda U23 haven't matched Libya U23's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Libya U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Libya U23, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Libya U23 Clean Sheet 15%
Rwanda U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Libya U23 Rwanda U23
Matches Played 5 4
Wins 2 1
Draws 0 1
Losses 3 2
Goals Scored 1.2 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.52
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Rwanda U23 vs Libya U23
3:0
Sep 23, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Libya U23 vs Rwanda U23
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Libya U23 31 / 100
Rwanda U23 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Libya U23 Rwanda U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Rwanda U23 has conceded goals in 75% of their last 4 outings.

Libya U23 scored in 40% of their last 5 games.

Libya U23 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Libya U23 VS Rwanda U23
1.2 Goals Scored 1.25
1.8 Goals Conceded 1.5
80% Over 1.5 75%
60% Over 2.5 50%
40% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Libya U23

(Home)
27 Sept
Rwanda U23
3 : 0
Libya U23
23 Sept
Libya U23
4 : 1
Rwanda U23
25 Mar
Nigeria U23
4 : 0
Libya U23
20 Mar
Libya U23
2 : 0
Nigeria U23
08 Jul
Metz
1 : 0
Libya U23

Rwanda U23

(Away)
29 Oct
Mali U23
1 : 0
Rwanda U23
22 Oct
Rwanda U23
1 : 1
Mali U23
27 Sept
Rwanda U23
3 : 0
Libya U23
23 Sept
Libya U23
4 : 1
Rwanda U23

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Guinea Bissau U23 2
Niger U23 4
TBD -
Ivory Coast U23 -
Sudan U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Benin U23 -
Tanzania U23 3
South Sudan U23 3
TBD -
Nigeria U23 -
Guinea U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Uganda U23 -
Eswatini U23 3
Botswana U23 2
TBD -
Egypt U23 -
Sierra Leone U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Zambia U23 -
Mauritania U23 1
Togo U23 2
TBD -
South Africa U23 -
Congo U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Tunisia U23 -
Ethiopia U23 0
D.R. Congo U23 1
TBD -
Algeria U23 -
Mozambique U23 5
Mauritius U23 1
TBD -
Ghana U23 -
Burkina Faso U23 2
Gambia U23 2
TBD -
Senegal U23 -
Libya U23 4
Rwanda U23 4
TBD -
Mali U23 -
Madagascar U23 12
Seychelles U23 1
TBD -
Gabon U23 -
Angola U23 8
Namibia U23 1
TBD -
Cameroon U23 -
Semi-finals
Niger U23 1
Ivory Coast U23 1
Sudan U23 3
Benin U23 3
Tanzania U23 1
Nigeria U23 3
Guinea U23 -
Uganda U23 -
Eswatini U23 0
Egypt U23 1
Sierra Leone U23 1
Zambia U23 2
Togo U23 2
South Africa U23 2
Congo U23 2
Tunisia U23 2
D.R. Congo U23 5
Algeria U23 4
Mozambique U23 1
Ghana U23 4
Burkina Faso U23 0
Senegal U23 1
Rwanda U23 1
Mali U23 2
Madagascar U23 0
Gabon U23 5
Angola U23 2
Cameroon U23 3
Final
Niger U23 2
Sudan U23 1
Nigeria U23 0
Guinea U23 2
Egypt U23 2
Zambia U23 0
South Africa U23 1
Congo U23 1
Algeria U23 1
Ghana U23 2
Senegal U23 3
Mali U23 4
Gabon U23 2
Cameroon U23 1