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Licata vs Paterno Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Bianco G.
43' Event
Panarello A.
66' Event
Retucci M.

AI Match Summary

Paterno in this Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paterno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Licata
30%
Draws
8%
Paterno
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Licata

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Licata at 1.07 per game, Paterno at 0.8.
  • Licata are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Licata Clean Sheet 68%
Paterno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Licata Paterno
Matches Played 28 35
Wins 8 8
Draws 5 5
Losses 15 22
Goals Scored 1.07 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.64 2.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Licata vs Paterno
2:3
Dec 1, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Paterno vs Licata
1:0
Feb 12, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Licata vs Paterno
2:1
Oct 16, 2022 Serie D - Group I
Paterno vs Licata
0:1
Feb 27, 2022 Serie D - Group I
Licata vs Paterno
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Licata Compare

Top Goalscorer Bianco G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tozaj E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Paterno Compare

Top Goalscorer Panarello A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Retucci M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Licata 95 / 100
Paterno 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Licata Paterno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Licata Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paterno has conceded goals in 83% of their last 35 outings.

Licata's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Licata went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Licata VS Paterno
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.63
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Licata

(Home)
26 Sept
Enna
0 : 3
Licata
20 Sept
Licata
1 : 0
USD Ragusa
16 Sept
Castrumfavara
1 : 1
Licata
13 Sept
Licata
1 : 1
Nissa
06 Sept
Reggina
5 : 0
Licata
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Paterno

(Away)
03 May
Nissa
4 : 1
Paterno
26 Apr
Paterno
1 : 3
Castrumfavara
19 Apr
Reggina
2 : 0
Paterno
12 Apr
Paterno
0 : 0
Milazzo
02 Apr
Sambiase
3 : 1
Paterno
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siracusa 32 25 3 4 65:16 78
2 Reggina 32 24 5 3 65:22 77
3 Scafatese 32 20 5 7 58:26 65
4 Sambiase 32 15 9 8 40:27 54
5 Vibonese 32 15 5 12 44:31 50
6 Nissa 32 11 13 8 48:49 46
7 Paterno 32 10 14 8 26:32 44
8 USD Ragusa 32 9 11 12 37:37 38
9 Pompei 32 10 8 14 29:42 38
10 Igea Virtus 32 10 7 15 36:47 37
11 Sancataldese 32 7 14 11 28:40 35
12 Enna 32 7 14 11 21:39 35
13 AS Acireale 32 8 10 14 35:50 34
14 Castrumfavara 32 5 15 12 27:40 30
15 Licata 32 8 4 20 33:55 28
16 S. Agata 32 6 9 17 40:54 27
17 Locri 1909 32 6 6 20 32:57 24
18 Akragas 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Out)