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Licata vs USD Ragusa Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Imbrogiano F.

AI Match Summary

Licata in this Serie D - Group I matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Licata.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Licata
35%
Draws
13%
USD Ragusa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Licata

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

13% / Low Confidence
  • Licata have won more games recently than USD Ragusa.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Licata Clean Sheet 27%
USD Ragusa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Licata USD Ragusa
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 7 6
Draws 4 12
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.04 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.73 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Licata vs USD Ragusa
1:0
Feb 2, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Licata vs USD Ragusa
1:4
Oct 6, 2024 Serie D - Group I
USD Ragusa vs Licata
3:0
Apr 14, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Licata vs USD Ragusa
2:0
Dec 3, 2023 Serie D - Group I
USD Ragusa vs Licata
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Licata Compare

Top Goalscorer Imbrogiano F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

USD Ragusa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Licata 38 / 100
USD Ragusa 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Licata USD Ragusa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USD Ragusa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Licata's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Defensive concern: USD Ragusa conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Licata stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Licata VS USD Ragusa
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Licata

(Home)
26 Sept
Enna
0 : 3
Licata
20 Sept
Licata
1 : 0
USD Ragusa
16 Sept
Castrumfavara
1 : 1
Licata
13 Sept
Licata
1 : 1
Nissa
06 Sept
Reggina
5 : 0
Licata
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USD Ragusa

(Away)
27 Sept
USD Ragusa
0 : 1
Trapani
20 Sept
Licata
1 : 0
USD Ragusa
16 Sept
USD Ragusa
1 : 1
Lamezia
13 Sept
Milazzo
3 : 1
USD Ragusa
06 Sept
USD Ragusa
2 : 2
ASD Modica Calcio
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Reggina 5 5 0 0 15:0 15
2 Sambiase 5 4 1 0 9:3 13
3 Vibonese 5 3 1 1 13:5 10
4 Igea Virtus 5 3 1 1 13:10 10
5 Digiesse PraiaTortora 5 2 3 0 8:2 9
6 Calcio Avola 5 3 0 2 8:10 9
7 Licata 5 2 2 1 6:7 8
8 Athletic Palermo 5 2 1 2 9:8 7
9 Nissa 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
10 Milazzo 5 2 0 3 4:8 6
11 Siracusa 5 3 2 0 8:4 4
12 Castrumfavara 5 1 1 3 5:5 4
13 ASD Modica Calcio 5 1 1 3 3:5 4
14 Gela 5 1 1 3 4:6 3
15 USD Ragusa 5 0 2 3 4:8 2
16 Lamezia 5 0 2 3 5:13 2
17 Enna 5 0 1 4 0:12 1
18 Trapani 5 1 0 4 2:10 -2
Promotion - Serie D - Group I (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I (Play Out)