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Lichtenberg vs Malchower

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2018/2019 game between Lichtenberg and Malchower finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lichtenberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Lichtenberg
15%
Draws
26%
Malchower
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lichtenberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lichtenberg come out ahead of Malchower on wins alone.
  • Lichtenberg are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Lichtenberg have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Lichtenberg Clean Sheet 20%
Malchower Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lichtenberg Malchower
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 2
Draws 5 1
Losses 8 27
Goals Scored 2.34 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.69 3.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2019 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Lichtenberg vs Malchower
1:0
Oct 6, 2018 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Malchower vs Lichtenberg
0:9
May 27, 2018 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Malchower vs Lichtenberg
3:3
Dec 2, 2017 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Lichtenberg vs Malchower
2:0
Mar 11, 2017 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Lichtenberg vs Malchower
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lichtenberg 85 / 100
Malchower 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lichtenberg Malchower

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lichtenberg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lichtenberg scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Malchower has conceded goals in 100% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Lichtenberg went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lichtenberg VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lichtenberg

(Home)
30 Aug
Lichtenberg
2 : 0
Hertha Zehlendorf
16 Aug
Klosterfelde
2 : 1
Lichtenberg
08 Aug
Lichtenberg
3 : 2
TSG Neustrelitz
18 Jul
Lichtenberg
1 : 1
Dresden II
12 Jul
Rsv Eintracht
3 : 1
Lichtenberg
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Malchower

(Away)
28 Jan
Malchower
1 : 2
TSG Neustrelitz
22 Jul
Malchower
4 : 2
Rathenow
05 Jul
Malchower
0 : 9
Hansa Rostock
26 Jun
Malchower
0 : 4
Hansa Rostock
08 Jun
Malchower
1 : 7
TB Berlin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lichtenberg 30 23 5 2 69:12 74
2 TB Berlin 30 21 4 5 76:27 67
3 Greifswalder FC 30 18 5 7 67:44 59
4 Hertha Zehlendorf 30 16 7 7 64:33 55
5 Hansa Rostock II 30 16 7 7 69:39 55
6 Blau Weiss Berlin 30 13 5 12 58:39 44
7 Altludersdorf 30 13 2 15 50:61 41
8 SC Staaken 30 10 8 12 56:52 38
9 Torgelower Greif 30 10 8 12 44:48 38
10 TSG Neustrelitz 30 10 7 13 37:46 37
11 CFC Hertha 30 12 1 17 45:67 37
12 Stendal 30 11 2 17 42:72 35
13 Strausberg 30 10 3 17 42:64 33
14 Brandenburger 30 9 5 16 52:64 32
15 Wismar 30 8 8 14 25:47 32
16 Malchower 30 1 1 28 28:109 4
Relegation - Oberliga NOFV - Relegation 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2019/2020 (Main)